مدرسة الاحتمالات

Villarreal v Levante

البداية: 2026-05-02 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Villarreal 5–1 Levante

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Villarreal (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.70%1.86السعر العادل
EV -2.27%
الأفضلية -1.25%
Kelly -2.77%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.82

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.15%53.77%53.68%56.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.661.751.751.8260.24%57.21%57.14%54.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Levante (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.11%4.33السعر العادل
EV +2.83%
الأفضلية +0.636%
Kelly +0.821%
النمو +0.023%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.67%23.02%23.07%24.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.114.104.4527.78%24.31%24.39%22.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.20%4.31السعر العادل
EV -1.65%
الأفضلية -0.389%
Kelly -0.509%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.24

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.19%23.21%23.25%25.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.404.054.104.2429.41%24.68%24.39%23.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.82%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.80%EV +2.83%E +0.636%K +0.821%G +0.023%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.38%EV -3.74%E -0.901%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 11:45
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.11%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.80%EV +2.83%E +0.636%K +0.821%G +0.023%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 11:50
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.42%EV -3.35%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%EV +1.68%E +0.381%K +0.493%G +0.008%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 11:55
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.83%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%EV +1.68%E +0.381%K +0.493%G +0.008%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 11:55
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.83%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%EV +1.68%E +0.381%K +0.493%G +0.008%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 11:55
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.97%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +1.68%E +0.381%K +0.493%G +0.008%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 11:55
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.57%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.15%EV +0.752%E +0.173%K +0.224%G +0.002%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.27%EV -3.74%E -0.901%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 11:45
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.57%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.15%EV +0.752%E +0.173%K +0.224%G +0.002%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.27%EV -3.74%E -0.901%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 11:40
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.81%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30%EV +0.521%E +0.120%K +0.156%G +0.001%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.88%EV -1.65%E -0.389%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 11:53
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.78%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -0.634%E -0.147%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 11:55
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.78%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -0.634%E -0.147%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 11:55
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.78%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -0.634%E -0.147%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 11:55
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.78%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -0.634%E -0.147%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 11:55
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.634%E -0.147%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.634%E -0.147%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 11:21
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.634%E -0.147%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 11:20
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -10.86%E -6.54%K -16.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -0.634%E -0.147%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 11:50
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65%EV -8.18%E -4.78%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -1.79%E -0.421%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 11:55
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -8.72%E -5.13%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -1.79%E -0.421%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 11:55
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 23.00%EV -2.48%E -0.588%K -0.771%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 11:55
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -2.95%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 11:11
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -9.79%E -5.83%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.95%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.38%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 11:55
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.65%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.09%EV -4.10%E -0.988%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.38%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 11:45
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.65%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.09%EV -4.10%E -0.988%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.38%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 11:45
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.35%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 11:54
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -3.35%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 11:50
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 11:55
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 11:55
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.22%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 11:54
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 53.22%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 11:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -6.57%E -3.78%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 11:10
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 11:45
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.65%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.32%EV -6.41%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 11:55
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -6.57%E -3.78%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 11:50
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 11:10
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.11%E -4.11%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.11%E -4.11%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:10
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.11%E -4.11%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.11%E -4.11%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:10
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 11:55
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -8.18%E -4.78%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.38%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:54
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -8.18%E -4.78%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.38%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:55
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -9.79%E -5.83%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -8.38%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:45
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.20%EV -8.72%E -5.13%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -8.72%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 11:55
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -9.88%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 11:45
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.88%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 11:50
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.57%E -3.78%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.88%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 11:50
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -3.35%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.88%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -11.86%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 11:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.88%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 11:45
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.03%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -10.70%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 11:55
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.19%E -3.21%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 11:45
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -7.11%E -4.11%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -12.19%E -3.21%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.86%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 11:50
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -7.11%E -4.11%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.34%E -3.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.86%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.15%EV -10.33%E -6.18%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -16.81%E -4.67%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -21.13%E -6.22%K -8.81%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-02 11:46
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 54.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.79%0.1%2026-05-02 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%0.4%2026-05-02 11:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-05-02 11:55
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-05-02 11:55
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%0.9%2026-05-02 11:55
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-05-02 11:55