Школа коэффициентов

Villarreal v Atlético Madrid

Начало: 2026-05-24 19:00 UTC

Итог: Villarreal 5–1 Atlético Madrid

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Villarreal (Хозяева)

Прогноз 38.01%2.63справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.18%
Преимущество -0.454%
Kelly -0.738%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.36%37.95%38.07%39.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.252.482.482.6044.44%40.36%40.32%38.46%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Atlético Madrid (Гости)

Прогноз 37.36%2.68справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.00%
Преимущество -0.378%
Kelly -0.608%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.65

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.01%37.44%37.34%39.39%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.302.522.542.6543.48%39.66%39.37%37.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 24.63%4.06справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.46%
Преимущество -0.365%
Kelly -0.487%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.04%24.61%24.59%26.44%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.803.804.0031.25%26.30%26.32%25.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.01%EV -1.18%E -0.454%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.29%EV -1.00%E -0.378%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.2%2026-05-24 18:40
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.01%EV -1.18%E -0.454%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.29%EV -1.00%E -0.378%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.2%2026-05-24 18:40
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 38.01%EV -1.18%E -0.454%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.29%EV -1.00%E -0.378%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.2%2026-05-24 18:40
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.38%EV -1.18%E -0.454%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.38%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -1.18%E -0.454%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -10.34%E -4.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:50
Marathon Bet2.59I 38.61%NM 37.41%EV -1.56%E -0.602%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.00%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.59%EV -2.94%E -0.746%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.74%EV -1.94%E -0.752%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.74%EV -3.62%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.52%EV -2.20%E -0.554%K -0.741%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-24 18:50
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.94%E -0.752%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.62%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 18:50
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.94%E -0.752%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.62%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 18:50
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.75%EV -2.70%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.02%EV -2.50%E -0.957%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.23%EV -5.65%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 18:50
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.75%EV -2.70%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.02%EV -2.50%E -0.957%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.23%EV -5.65%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.19%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.46%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.35%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.487%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-24 18:40
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.68%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.68%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 18:50
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 38.16%EV -3.46%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.42%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.42%EV -2.20%E -0.554%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Bovada2.53I 39.53%NM 37.51%EV -3.84%E -1.52%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.51%EV -5.49%E -2.17%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:49
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.15%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.40%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:50
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.487%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:50
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:50
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.03%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.28%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 18:40
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:50
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:50
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:39
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:49
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -10.34%E -4.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.487%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 18:50
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:50
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 18:50
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.22%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.17%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.22%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.17%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.22%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.17%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:40
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.22%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.17%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.44%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:40
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 18:39
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 18:50
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 18:10
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 18:50
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 18:49
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.93%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.93%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 18:50
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -7.64%E -3.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -7.35%E -2.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -7.64%E -3.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -7.35%E -2.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 18:40
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -7.64%E -3.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -7.35%E -2.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%EV -7.64%E -3.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%EV -7.35%E -2.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%EV -7.64%E -3.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%EV -7.35%E -2.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 18:40
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -8.02%E -3.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.32%EV -7.73%E -3.13%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 18:38
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 18:40
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 18:39
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 18:39
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.09%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.86%EV -7.35%E -2.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 18:40
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.34%E -4.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 18:50
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 18:40
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.26%EV -10.68%E -4.55%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.46%EV -5.49%E -2.17%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 18:50
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.17%EV -10.68%E -4.55%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.91%EV -9.22%E -3.79%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -12.58%E -5.47%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -14.08%E -6.12%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.44%EV -21.17%E -6.62%K -9.62%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-24 18:40
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -14.48%E -6.44%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -14.08%E -6.12%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.04%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-24 18:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.40%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 38.29%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.43%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%0.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-24 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-24 18:40
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-05-24 18:50