A Escola das Odds

Villarreal v Atlético Madrid

Início: 2026-05-24 19:00 UTC

Final: Villarreal 5–1 Atlético Madrid

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Villarreal (Local)

Previsão 38.01%2.63odd justa
EV -1.18%
Vantagem -0.454%
Kelly -0.738%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.36%37.95%38.07%39.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.482.482.6044.44%40.36%40.32%38.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlético Madrid (Visitante)

Previsão 37.36%2.68odd justa
EV -1.00%
Vantagem -0.378%
Kelly -0.608%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.01%37.44%37.34%39.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.522.542.6543.48%39.66%39.37%37.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.63%4.06odd justa
EV -1.46%
Vantagem -0.365%
Kelly -0.487%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.04%24.61%24.59%26.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.803.804.0031.25%26.30%26.32%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.01%EV -1.18%E -0.454%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.29%EV -1.00%E -0.378%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.2%2026-05-24 18:40
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.01%EV -1.18%E -0.454%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.29%EV -1.00%E -0.378%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.2%2026-05-24 18:40
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 38.01%EV -1.18%E -0.454%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.29%EV -1.00%E -0.378%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.2%2026-05-24 18:40
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.38%EV -1.18%E -0.454%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.38%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -1.18%E -0.454%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -10.34%E -4.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:50
Marathon Bet2.59I 38.61%NM 37.41%EV -1.56%E -0.602%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.00%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.59%EV -2.94%E -0.746%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.74%EV -1.94%E -0.752%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.74%EV -3.62%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.52%EV -2.20%E -0.554%K -0.741%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-24 18:50
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.94%E -0.752%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.62%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 18:50
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.94%E -0.752%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.62%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 18:50
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.75%EV -2.70%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.02%EV -2.50%E -0.957%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.23%EV -5.65%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 18:50
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.75%EV -2.70%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.02%EV -2.50%E -0.957%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.23%EV -5.65%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.19%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.46%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.35%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.487%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-24 18:40
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.68%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.68%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 18:50
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 38.16%EV -3.46%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.42%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.42%EV -2.20%E -0.554%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Bovada2.53I 39.53%NM 37.51%EV -3.84%E -1.52%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.51%EV -5.49%E -2.17%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:49
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.15%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.40%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:50
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.487%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:50
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:50
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.03%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.28%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 18:40
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:50
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:50
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:39
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:49
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -10.34%E -4.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.487%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 18:50
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:50
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 18:50
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.22%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.17%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.22%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.17%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.22%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.17%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:40
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.22%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.17%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.44%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:40
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 18:39
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 18:50
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 18:10
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 18:50
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 18:49
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.93%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.93%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 18:50
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -7.64%E -3.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -7.35%E -2.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -7.64%E -3.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -7.35%E -2.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 18:40
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -7.64%E -3.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -7.35%E -2.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%EV -7.64%E -3.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%EV -7.35%E -2.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%EV -7.64%E -3.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%EV -7.35%E -2.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 18:40
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -8.02%E -3.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.32%EV -7.73%E -3.13%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 18:38
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 18:40
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 18:39
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 18:39
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.09%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.86%EV -7.35%E -2.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 18:40
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.34%E -4.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 18:50
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 18:40
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.26%EV -10.68%E -4.55%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.46%EV -5.49%E -2.17%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 18:50
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.17%EV -10.68%E -4.55%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.91%EV -9.22%E -3.79%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -12.58%E -5.47%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -14.08%E -6.12%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.44%EV -21.17%E -6.62%K -9.62%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-24 18:40
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -14.48%E -6.44%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -14.08%E -6.12%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.04%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-24 18:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.40%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 38.29%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.43%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%0.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-24 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-24 18:40
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-05-24 18:50