مدرسة الاحتمالات

Villarreal v Atlético Madrid

البداية: 2026-05-24 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Villarreal 5–1 Atlético Madrid

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Villarreal (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.01%2.63السعر العادل
EV -1.18%
الأفضلية -0.454%
Kelly -0.738%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.36%37.95%38.07%39.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.482.482.6044.44%40.36%40.32%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atlético Madrid (الضيف)

التنبؤ 37.36%2.68السعر العادل
EV -1.00%
الأفضلية -0.378%
Kelly -0.608%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.01%37.44%37.34%39.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.522.542.6543.48%39.66%39.37%37.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.63%4.06السعر العادل
EV -1.46%
الأفضلية -0.365%
Kelly -0.487%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.04%24.61%24.59%26.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.803.804.0031.25%26.30%26.32%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.01%EV -1.18%E -0.454%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.29%EV -1.00%E -0.378%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.2%2026-05-24 18:40
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.01%EV -1.18%E -0.454%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.29%EV -1.00%E -0.378%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.2%2026-05-24 18:40
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 38.01%EV -1.18%E -0.454%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.29%EV -1.00%E -0.378%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.2%2026-05-24 18:40
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.38%EV -1.18%E -0.454%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.38%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -1.18%E -0.454%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -10.34%E -4.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:50
Marathon Bet2.59I 38.61%NM 37.41%EV -1.56%E -0.602%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.00%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.59%EV -2.94%E -0.746%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.74%EV -1.94%E -0.752%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.74%EV -3.62%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.52%EV -2.20%E -0.554%K -0.741%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-24 18:50
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.94%E -0.752%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.62%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 18:50
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.94%E -0.752%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.62%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 18:50
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.75%EV -2.70%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.02%EV -2.50%E -0.957%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.23%EV -5.65%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 18:50
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.75%EV -2.70%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.02%EV -2.50%E -0.957%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.23%EV -5.65%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.19%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.46%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.35%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.487%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-24 18:40
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.68%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.68%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 18:50
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 38.16%EV -3.46%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.42%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.42%EV -2.20%E -0.554%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Bovada2.53I 39.53%NM 37.51%EV -3.84%E -1.52%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.51%EV -5.49%E -2.17%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:49
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.15%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.40%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:50
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.487%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:50
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:50
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.03%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.28%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 18:40
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:50
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:50
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:39
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:49
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -10.34%E -4.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.487%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 18:50
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:50
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 18:50
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.22%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.17%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.22%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.17%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.22%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.17%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:40
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.22%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.17%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.44%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:40
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.74%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 18:39
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 18:50
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 18:10
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 18:50
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -6.61%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 18:49
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.93%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.93%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 18:50
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -7.64%E -3.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -7.35%E -2.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -7.64%E -3.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -7.35%E -2.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 18:40
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -7.64%E -3.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -7.35%E -2.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%EV -7.64%E -3.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%EV -7.35%E -2.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%EV -7.64%E -3.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%EV -7.35%E -2.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 18:40
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -8.02%E -3.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.32%EV -7.73%E -3.13%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 18:38
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 18:40
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 18:39
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 18:39
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.09%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.86%EV -7.35%E -2.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 18:40
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.34%E -4.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 18:50
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 18:40
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.26%EV -10.68%E -4.55%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.46%EV -5.49%E -2.17%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 18:50
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.17%EV -10.68%E -4.55%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.91%EV -9.22%E -3.79%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -12.58%E -5.47%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -14.08%E -6.12%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.44%EV -21.17%E -6.62%K -9.62%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-24 18:40
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -14.48%E -6.44%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -14.08%E -6.12%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.04%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-24 18:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.40%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 38.29%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.43%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%0.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-24 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-24 18:40
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-05-24 18:50