Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Valencia v Celta Vigo

Начало: 2026-04-05 14:15 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Valencia (Хозяева)

Прогноз 40.44%2.47справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.54%
Преимущество -1.05%
Kelly -1.80%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.41

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.22%40.51%40.49%41.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.202.312.302.4145.45%43.28%43.48%41.49%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Celta Vigo (Гости)

Прогноз 30.13%3.32справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.19%
Преимущество -0.362%
Kelly -0.521%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.28

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.49%30.15%30.10%30.93%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.123.123.2834.72%32.07%32.10%30.49%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 29.43%3.40справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.40%
Преимущество -0.418%
Kelly -0.596%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.35

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.51%29.34%29.42%30.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.213.213.3535.71%31.19%31.15%29.85%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Valencia (Хозяева): 40.44%; Celta Vigo (Гости): 30.13%; Ничья: 29.43%. Для исхода «Celta Vigo (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.32. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.28, математическое ожидание — -1.19%; положительного ожидания не было.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.26%EV -2.54%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.61%EV -4.50%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%EV -1.99%E -0.597%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 14:01
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.94%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.13%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.58%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 03:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.94%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.13%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.58%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 03:10
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -3.34%E -1.40%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.65%EV -1.19%E -0.362%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.65%EV -3.46%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.75%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.98%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.08%EV -1.40%E -0.418%K -0.596%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 13:20
Coolbet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -3.75%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 09:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.75%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -2.39%E -0.739%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.49%EV -3.46%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 14:01
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -3.75%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 14:05
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -3.75%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 14:04
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -3.75%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 14:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.32%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.24%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -1.40%E -0.418%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.24%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -1.40%E -0.418%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 13:20
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 14:00
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 13:40
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 13:55
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 13:50
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 21:24
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 13:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.45%EV -5.77%E -2.48%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.83%EV -1.40%E -0.418%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 13:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.11%EV -5.71%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.27%EV -5.23%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 13:53
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 13:19
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 13:19
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 13:19
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 13:19
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 13:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 14:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 13:50
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 14:05
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 04:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 14:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 13:20
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 02:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:19
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 13:40
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 14:04
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 14:05
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.79%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 13:19
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.79%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 13:19
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.79%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 13:19
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 13:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 08:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 13:54
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 13:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -10.23%E -3.35%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 14:01
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 14:01
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -9.82%E -4.40%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 13:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -9.82%E -4.40%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 13:20
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -9.82%E -4.40%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -11.03%E -5.01%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -13.24%E -4.60%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -17.59%E -6.28%K -9.77%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-05 13:54
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-04-05 14:10
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-04-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-04-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-04-05 14:04
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-05 13:50
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.96%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-04-05 14:04