A Escola das Odds

Valencia v Celta Vigo

Início: 2026-04-05 14:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Valencia (Local)

Previsão 40.44%2.47odd justa
EV -2.54%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -1.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.22%40.51%40.49%41.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.312.302.4145.45%43.28%43.48%41.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Celta Vigo (Visitante)

Previsão 30.13%3.32odd justa
EV -1.19%
Vantagem -0.362%
Kelly -0.521%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.49%30.15%30.10%30.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.123.123.2834.72%32.07%32.10%30.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.43%3.40odd justa
EV -1.40%
Vantagem -0.418%
Kelly -0.596%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.51%29.34%29.42%30.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.213.213.3535.71%31.19%31.15%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 40.26%EV -2.54%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.61%EV -4.50%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%EV -1.99%E -0.597%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 14:01
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.94%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.13%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.58%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 03:10
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.94%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.13%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.58%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 03:10
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -3.34%E -1.40%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.65%EV -1.19%E -0.362%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.65%EV -3.46%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 14:05
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.75%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.98%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.08%EV -1.40%E -0.418%K -0.596%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 13:20
Coolbet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -3.75%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 09:19
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.75%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -2.39%E -0.739%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.49%EV -3.46%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 14:01
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -3.75%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 14:05
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -3.75%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 14:04
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -3.75%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 14:09
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.32%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 14:01
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.24%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -1.40%E -0.418%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 13:20
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.24%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -1.40%E -0.418%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 13:20
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 14:00
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 13:40
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 13:55
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 13:50
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 21:24
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.45%EV -5.77%E -2.48%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.83%EV -1.40%E -0.418%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 13:19
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.11%EV -5.71%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.27%EV -5.23%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 13:53
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 13:19
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 13:19
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 13:19
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 13:19
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 13:55
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 14:09
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 14:10
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 13:50
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 14:05
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 04:09
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 14:04
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 13:20
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 02:50
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:19
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 11:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 13:40
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 14:04
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 14:05
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.79%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 13:19
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.79%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 13:19
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.79%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 13:19
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 13:19
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 08:55
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 13:54
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 13:55
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -10.23%E -3.35%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 14:01
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 14:01
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 14:01
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -9.82%E -4.40%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 13:19
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -9.82%E -4.40%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 13:20
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -9.82%E -4.40%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -11.03%E -5.01%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -13.24%E -4.60%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -17.59%E -6.28%K -9.77%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-05 13:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-04-05 14:10
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-04-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-04-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-04-05 14:04
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-05 13:50
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.96%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-04-05 14:04