مدرسة الاحتمالات

Valencia v Celta Vigo

البداية: 2026-04-05 14:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Valencia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.44%2.47السعر العادل
EV -2.54%
الأفضلية -1.05%
Kelly -1.80%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.41

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.22%40.51%40.49%41.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.312.302.4145.45%43.28%43.48%41.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Celta Vigo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.13%3.32السعر العادل
EV -1.19%
الأفضلية -0.362%
Kelly -0.521%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.49%30.15%30.10%30.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.123.123.2834.72%32.07%32.10%30.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.43%3.40السعر العادل
EV -1.40%
الأفضلية -0.418%
Kelly -0.596%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.51%29.34%29.42%30.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.213.213.3535.71%31.19%31.15%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 40.26%EV -2.54%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.61%EV -4.50%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%EV -1.99%E -0.597%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 14:01
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.94%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.13%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.58%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 03:10
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.94%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.13%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.58%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 03:10
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -3.34%E -1.40%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.65%EV -1.19%E -0.362%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.65%EV -3.46%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 14:05
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.75%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.98%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.08%EV -1.40%E -0.418%K -0.596%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 13:20
Coolbet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -3.75%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 09:19
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.75%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -2.39%E -0.739%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.49%EV -3.46%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 14:01
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -3.75%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 14:05
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -3.75%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 14:04
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -3.75%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 14:09
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.32%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 14:01
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.24%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -1.40%E -0.418%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 13:20
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.24%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -1.40%E -0.418%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 13:20
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 14:00
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 13:40
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 13:55
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 13:50
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 21:24
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.45%EV -5.77%E -2.48%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.83%EV -1.40%E -0.418%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 13:19
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.11%EV -5.71%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.27%EV -5.23%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 13:53
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 13:19
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 13:19
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 13:19
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 13:19
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 13:55
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 14:09
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 14:10
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 13:50
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.87%E -0.870%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 14:05
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 04:09
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 14:04
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 13:20
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 02:50
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:19
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 11:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 13:40
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 14:04
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 14:05
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.79%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 13:19
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.79%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 13:19
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.79%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 13:19
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 13:19
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 08:55
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 13:54
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 13:55
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -10.23%E -3.35%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 14:01
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 14:01
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.01%E -4.00%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 14:01
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -9.82%E -4.40%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 13:19
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -9.82%E -4.40%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 13:20
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -9.82%E -4.40%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -11.03%E -5.01%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -13.24%E -4.60%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -17.59%E -6.28%K -9.77%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-05 13:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-04-05 14:10
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-04-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-04-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-04-05 14:04
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-05 13:50
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.96%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-04-05 14:04