A Escola das Odds

Real Sociedad v Getafe

Início: 2026-04-22 18:00 UTC

Final: Real Sociedad 0–1 Getafe

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Real Sociedad (Local)

Previsão 42.29%2.36odd justa
EV -1.46%
Vantagem -0.626%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.97%42.32%42.29%43.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.232.232.3347.62%44.91%44.94%42.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Getafe (Visitante)

Previsão 26.24%3.81odd justa
EV -0.283%
Vantagem -0.074%
Kelly -0.101%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.79%26.28%26.28%27.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.593.603.8032.26%27.85%27.78%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.47%3.18odd justa
EV -0.566%
Vantagem -0.179%
Kelly -0.262%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.82%31.40%31.44%32.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.013.003.1636.36%33.19%33.33%31.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -1.46%E -0.626%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.54%EV -4.48%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.99%EV -4.97%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 17:39
BetOnline.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -1.46%E -0.626%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.54%EV -4.48%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.99%EV -4.97%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 17:39
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.91%EV -1.88%E -0.811%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79%EV -1.07%E -0.284%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.30%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 17:55
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.46%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -1.59%E -0.425%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-22 17:30
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.93%EV -1.86%E -0.497%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.90%EV -4.34%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 17:54
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.15%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.27%EV -3.17%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.58%EV -3.40%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 17:50
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.67%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%EV -1.59%E -0.425%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-22 17:54
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.67%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%EV -1.59%E -0.425%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-22 17:54
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.99%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.88%EV -2.91%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.13%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 17:50
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.99%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.88%EV -2.91%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.13%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 17:50
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.00%E -1.76%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90%EV -1.59%E -0.425%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.33%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 17:30
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 42.22%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 17:54
Bovada2.26I 44.25%NM 42.07%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.91%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.14%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -0.283%E -0.074%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 17:30
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.92%EV -2.91%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.45%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 17:44
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -0.566%E -0.179%K -0.262%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 15:39
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.22%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 17:44
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 17:50
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 17:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -2.91%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 17:45
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 17:50
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -1.82%E -0.585%K -0.861%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 17:49
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 15:40
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 17:49
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.85%EV -5.69%E -2.55%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -2.91%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.33%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:30
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.85%EV -5.69%E -2.55%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -2.91%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.33%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:30
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.63%EV -5.69%E -2.55%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.91%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.68%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 17:54
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.48%EV -5.69%E -2.55%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.22%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 17:55
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.57%EV -6.11%E -2.75%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.19%EV -4.66%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 17:49
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 17:50
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.22%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:30
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.22%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.22%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:30
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 15:10
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 17:55
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 17:50
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 17:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:54
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.91%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 17:45
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.47%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 17:50
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 17:50
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 17:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -9.38%E -3.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 17:44
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 17:50
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 17:45
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:54
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:54
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -7.80%E -3.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 17:30
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -7.80%E -3.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 17:54
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -9.07%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -0.283%E -0.074%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:55
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -9.07%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 17:50
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.07%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 17:54
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.07%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 17:54
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -9.07%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -11.19%E -5.33%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -18.65%E -6.02%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-22 17:42
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.29%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.75%0.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63%0.5%2026-04-22 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63%0.5%2026-04-22 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63%0.5%2026-04-22 17:54
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%2.0%2026-04-22 17:54
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.08%3.1%2026-04-22 17:55