L’École des cotes

Real Sociedad v Getafe

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 18:00 UTC

Score final : Real Sociedad 0–1 Getafe

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Sociedad (Local)

Prévision 42.29%2.36cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.626%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.97%42.32%42.29%43.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.232.232.3347.62%44.91%44.94%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Getafe (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.24%3.81cote équitable
EV -0.283%
Avantage -0.074%
Kelly -0.101%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.79%26.28%26.28%27.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.593.603.8032.26%27.85%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.47%3.18cote équitable
EV -0.566%
Avantage -0.179%
Kelly -0.262%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.82%31.40%31.44%32.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.013.003.1636.36%33.19%33.33%31.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -1.46%E -0.626%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.54%EV -4.48%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.99%EV -4.97%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 17:39
BetOnline.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -1.46%E -0.626%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.54%EV -4.48%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.99%EV -4.97%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 17:39
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.91%EV -1.88%E -0.811%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79%EV -1.07%E -0.284%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.30%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 17:55
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.46%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -1.59%E -0.425%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-22 17:30
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.93%EV -1.86%E -0.497%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.90%EV -4.34%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 17:54
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.15%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.27%EV -3.17%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.58%EV -3.40%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 17:50
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.67%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%EV -1.59%E -0.425%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-22 17:54
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.67%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%EV -1.59%E -0.425%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-22 17:54
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.99%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.88%EV -2.91%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.13%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 17:50
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.99%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.88%EV -2.91%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.13%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 17:50
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.00%E -1.76%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90%EV -1.59%E -0.425%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.33%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 17:30
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 42.22%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 17:54
Bovada2.26I 44.25%NM 42.07%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.91%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.14%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -0.283%E -0.074%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 17:30
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.92%EV -2.91%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.45%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 17:44
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -0.566%E -0.179%K -0.262%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 15:39
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.22%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 17:44
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 17:50
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 17:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -2.91%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 17:45
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 17:50
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -1.82%E -0.585%K -0.861%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 17:49
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 15:40
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 17:49
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.85%EV -5.69%E -2.55%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -2.91%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.33%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:30
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.85%EV -5.69%E -2.55%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -2.91%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.33%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:30
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.63%EV -5.69%E -2.55%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.91%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.68%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 17:54
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.48%EV -5.69%E -2.55%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.22%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 17:55
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.57%EV -6.11%E -2.75%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.19%EV -4.66%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 17:49
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 17:50
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.22%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:30
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.22%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.22%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:30
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 15:10
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 17:55
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 17:50
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 17:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:54
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.91%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 17:45
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.47%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 17:50
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 17:50
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 17:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -9.38%E -3.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 17:44
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 17:50
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 17:45
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:54
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:54
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -7.80%E -3.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 17:30
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -7.80%E -3.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 17:54
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -9.07%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -0.283%E -0.074%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:55
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -9.07%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 17:50
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.07%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 17:54
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.07%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 17:54
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -9.07%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -11.19%E -5.33%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -18.65%E -6.02%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-22 17:42
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.29%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.75%0.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63%0.5%2026-04-22 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63%0.5%2026-04-22 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63%0.5%2026-04-22 17:54
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%2.0%2026-04-22 17:54
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.08%3.1%2026-04-22 17:55