Language:English
Real Madrid v Málaga
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Madrid (Local)
Prediction 87.27%1.15fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -18.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.63%87.14%87.36%89.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.091.091.1295.24%91.81%91.74%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Málaga (Visit)
Prediction 4.24%23.60fair odd
EV +35.61%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.409%
assuming max odds 32.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.95%4.32%4.15%6.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
15.0022.3322.5032.006.67%4.48%4.44%3.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 8.49%11.77fair odd
EV +10.41%
Edge +0.801%
Kelly +0.868%
Growth +0.090%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.23%8.54%8.49%11.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.4011.0511.0013.0011.90%9.05%9.09%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Madrid (Local): 87.27%; Málaga (Visit): 4.24%; Draw: 8.49%. For Málaga (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 23.60. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 32.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +35.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.81%EV -4.00%E -3.64%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 2.95%EV +35.61%E +1.11%K +1.15%G +0.409% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.24%EV -28.66%E -3.41%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.26%EV -5.75%E -5.32%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.32%EV +22.90%E +0.790%K +0.818%G +0.187% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV +10.41%E +0.801%K +0.868%G +0.090% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -7.50%E -7.07%K -124.92%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV +22.90%E +0.790%K +0.818%G +0.187% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV +10.41%E +0.801%K +0.868%G +0.090% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 14:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -7.50%E -7.07%K -124.92%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV +22.90%E +0.790%K +0.818%G +0.187% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV +10.41%E +0.801%K +0.868%G +0.090% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 14:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.85%EV -3.13%E -2.82%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +18.66%E +0.666%K +0.691%G +0.129% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.67%EV -4.45%E -0.396%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-30 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.78%EV -4.00%E -3.64%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.49%EV +14.42%E +0.534%K +0.555%G +0.080% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.72%EV -25.26%E -2.87%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 14:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.78%EV -3.13%E -2.82%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.75%EV +10.19%E +0.392%K +0.407%G +0.041% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.47%EV -2.33%E -0.202%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.47%EV -4.00%E -3.64%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +10.19%E +0.392%K +0.407%G +0.041% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.79%EV +6.17%E +0.493%K +0.536%G +0.033% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.88%EV -4.00%E -3.64%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.72%EV +10.19%E +0.392%K +0.407%G +0.041% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV -2.33%E -0.202%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 14:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.88%EV -4.00%E -3.64%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.72%EV +10.19%E +0.392%K +0.407%G +0.041% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV -2.33%E -0.202%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.56%EV -4.88%E -4.47%K -54.19%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.71%EV +10.19%E +0.392%K +0.407%G +0.041% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.72%EV +6.17%E +0.493%K +0.536%G +0.033% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.56%EV -4.88%E -4.47%K -54.19%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.71%EV +10.19%E +0.392%K +0.407%G +0.041% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.72%EV +6.17%E +0.493%K +0.536%G +0.033% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.56%EV -4.88%E -4.47%K -54.19%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.71%EV +10.19%E +0.392%K +0.407%G +0.041% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.72%EV +6.17%E +0.493%K +0.536%G +0.033% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.92%EV -5.75%E -5.32%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.69%EV +10.19%E +0.392%K +0.407%G +0.041% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.39%EV +10.41%E +0.801%K +0.868%G +0.090% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -5.75%E -5.32%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +10.19%E +0.392%K +0.407%G +0.041% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -15.07%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 14:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.34%EV -4.00%E -3.64%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +10.19%E +0.392%K +0.407%G +0.041% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -27.81%E -3.27%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.98%EV -4.88%E -4.47%K -54.19%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV +10.19%E +0.392%K +0.407%G +0.041% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV -23.56%E -2.62%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.59%EV -4.00%E -3.64%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 24.55I 4.07%NM 3.92%EV +4.04%E +0.165%K +0.172%G +0.007% | 11.35I 8.81%NM 8.49%EV -3.60%E -0.317%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.20%EV -4.00%E -3.64%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.04%EV +1.71%E +0.071%K +0.074%G +0.001% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.76%EV +6.17%E +0.493%K +0.536%G +0.033% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.76%EV -4.00%E -3.64%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.02%EV +1.71%E +0.071%K +0.074%G +0.001% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.22%EV -0.204%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.12%EV -4.00%E -3.64%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV -2.53%E -0.110%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -6.57%E -0.598%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.23%EV -5.75%E -5.32%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.14%EV -2.53%E -0.110%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +6.17%E +0.493%K +0.536%G +0.033% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.95%EV -5.75%E -5.32%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV -2.53%E -0.110%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +1.92%E +0.160%K +0.174%G +0.003% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 14:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.65%EV -5.75%E -5.32%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -2.53%E -0.110%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV -2.33%E -0.202%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.65%EV -5.75%E -5.32%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -2.53%E -0.110%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV -2.33%E -0.202%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.65%EV -5.75%E -5.32%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -2.53%E -0.110%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV -2.33%E -0.202%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.65%EV -5.75%E -5.32%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -2.53%E -0.110%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV -2.33%E -0.202%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:52 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.65%EV -5.75%E -5.32%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -2.53%E -0.110%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV -2.33%E -0.202%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.65%EV -5.75%E -5.32%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -2.53%E -0.110%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV -2.33%E -0.202%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -7.50%E -7.07%K -124.92%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -2.53%E -0.110%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +10.41%E +0.801%K +0.868%G +0.090% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.33%EV -5.75%E -5.32%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.34%EV -6.77%E -0.308%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +10.41%E +0.801%K +0.868%G +0.090% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.78%EV -4.00%E -3.64%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -11.00%E -0.524%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV -6.57%E -0.598%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 14:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.03%EV -4.00%E -3.64%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV -11.00%E -0.524%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -15.07%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.03%EV -4.00%E -3.64%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV -11.00%E -0.524%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -15.07%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.03%EV -4.00%E -3.64%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV -11.00%E -0.524%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -15.07%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.03%EV -4.00%E -3.64%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV -11.00%E -0.524%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -15.07%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.88%E -4.47%K -54.19%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV -11.00%E -0.524%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -10.82%E -1.03%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 14:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.71%EV -6.62%E -6.19%K -94.61%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -11.00%E -0.524%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +1.92%E +0.160%K +0.174%G +0.003% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.09%EV -6.62%E -6.19%K -94.61%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV -11.00%E -0.524%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -6.57%E -0.598%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.09%EV -6.62%E -6.19%K -94.61%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV -11.00%E -0.524%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -6.57%E -0.598%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -4.88%E -4.47%K -54.19%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -15.24%E -0.762%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -6.57%E -0.598%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.79%EV -5.75%E -5.32%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.69%EV -15.24%E -0.762%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -6.57%E -0.598%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.44%EV -5.75%E -5.32%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.67%EV -15.24%E -0.762%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -10.82%E -1.03%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.06%EV -5.75%E -5.32%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.65%EV -15.24%E -0.762%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -15.07%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.55%EV -6.62%E -6.19%K -94.61%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -15.24%E -0.762%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -10.82%E -1.03%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.55%EV -6.62%E -6.19%K -94.61%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -15.24%E -0.762%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -10.82%E -1.03%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.00%EV -7.50%E -7.07%K -124.92%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -15.24%E -0.762%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -6.57%E -0.598%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.03%EV -8.37%E -7.97%K -167.35%G +0.000% | 19.75I 5.06%NM 4.63%EV -16.30%E -0.825%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 10.95I 9.13%NM 8.35%EV -7.00%E -0.639%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -3.13%E -2.82%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.04%EV -19.48%E -1.03%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -6.57%E -0.598%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 14:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -3.13%E -2.82%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -19.48%E -1.03%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -15.07%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -4.00%E -3.64%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -19.48%E -1.03%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -15.07%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -5.75%E -5.32%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -19.48%E -1.03%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -15.07%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.42%EV -2.26%E -2.02%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.47%EV -25.84%E -1.48%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.11%EV -10.82%E -1.03%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.90%EV -2.26%E -2.02%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.59%EV -27.96%E -1.64%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -15.07%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 14:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.90%EV -2.26%E -2.02%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.59%EV -27.96%E -1.64%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -15.07%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.24%EV -4.88%E -4.47%K -54.19%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.47%EV -27.96%E -1.64%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -15.07%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 14:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.39%EV -5.75%E -5.32%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV -32.19%E -2.01%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +1.92%E +0.160%K +0.174%G +0.003% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.10%EV -5.75%E -5.32%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -32.19%E -2.01%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV -2.33%E -0.202%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.63%EV -2.26%E -2.02%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -36.43%E -2.43%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.13%EV -21.44%E -2.32%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.63%EV -2.26%E -2.02%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -36.43%E -2.43%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.13%EV -21.44%E -2.32%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 14:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.53% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.11% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.53% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.11% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.53% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.11% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.37% | 32.05I 3.12%NM 3.07% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.56% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.34% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.89% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.77% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |