Langue:Français
Real Madrid v Málaga
Résultat du match
Real Madrid (Local)
Prévision 79.67%1.26cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -8.70%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.11%79.77%79.46%80.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.131.181.171.2388.50%85.08%85.47%81.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Málaga (Visiteur)
Prévision 7.56%13.22cote équitable
EV +8.91%
Avantage +0.619%
Kelly +0.665%
Croissance +0.059%
avec la cote maximale 14.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.62%7.61%7.57%9.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.0012.3612.2514.4011.11%8.09%8.16%6.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 12.76%7.83cote équitable
EV +5.55%
Avantage +0.671%
Kelly +0.764%
Croissance +0.042%
avec la cote maximale 8.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.50%12.62%12.98%16.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.757.177.138.2717.39%13.94%14.04%12.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Real Madrid (Local) : 79.67% ; Málaga (Visiteur) : 7.56% ; Match nul : 12.76%. Pour Málaga (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 13.22. 4 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 14.40, pour une espérance positive de +8.91%.
Cotes des opérateurs (24 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.04%EV -2.00%E -1.63%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 14.40I 6.94%NM 6.84%EV +8.91%E +0.619%K +0.665%G +0.059% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.13%EV -4.27%E -0.570%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 19:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.10%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.80%EV +7.77%E +0.546%K +0.587%G +0.046% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.10%EV -5.55%E -0.750%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.54%EV -5.99%E -5.07%K -33.25%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +5.88%E +0.420%K +0.453%G +0.027% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -4.27%E -0.570%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 16:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.62%EV +5.88%E +0.420%K +0.453%G +0.027% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -26.61%E -4.63%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 19:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.85%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.31%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -1.68%E -0.129%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -5.55%E -0.750%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 19:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.99%E -5.07%K -33.25%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -1.68%E -0.129%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -4.27%E -0.570%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.77%EV -5.99%E -5.07%K -33.25%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV -1.68%E -0.129%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -7.47%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 16:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.78%E -5.80%K -39.89%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -1.68%E -0.129%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.66%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.78%E -5.80%K -39.89%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -1.68%E -0.129%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.66%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.78%E -5.80%K -39.89%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -1.68%E -0.129%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.66%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -9.17%E -8.05%K -65.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -1.68%E -0.129%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -10.66%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.31%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.37%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.36%EV -5.46%E -0.437%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.33%EV -11.93%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -9.24%E -0.770%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.66%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -9.24%E -0.770%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.66%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.63%EV -6.78%E -5.80%K -39.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV -9.24%E -0.770%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.50%EV +4.66%E +0.568%K +0.647%G +0.030% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 16:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.99%E -5.07%K -33.25%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.24%E -0.770%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -4.27%E -0.570%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -6.78%E -5.80%K -39.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -9.24%E -0.770%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -10.66%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.38%E -7.28%K -55.84%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -9.24%E -0.770%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -10.66%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -8.38%E -7.28%K -55.84%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -9.24%E -0.770%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -17.04%E -2.62%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.22%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.31%G +0.000% | 11.59I 8.63%NM 8.24%EV -12.34%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.27I 12.09%NM 11.54%EV +5.55%E +0.671%K +0.764%G +0.042% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -6.78%E -5.80%K -39.89%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +2.11%E +0.263%K +0.301%G +0.006% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.02%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.64%EV -7.47%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.37%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -24.37%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -7.47%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 19:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 76.11%EV -9.97%E -8.82%K -76.68%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.56%EV -31.93%E -3.55%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.33%EV -23.42%E -3.90%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-08-23 19:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.27% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.78% | 2.9% | 2026-08-23 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.27% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.78% | 2.9% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.27% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.78% | 2.9% | 2026-08-23 16:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.64% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.77% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.58% | 3.3% | 2026-08-23 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.61% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.41% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 19:25 |