语言:简体中文
Real Madrid v Málaga
胜负盘
Real Madrid (主队)
预测 79.67%1.26公平赔率
EV -2.00%
优势 -1.63%
Kelly -8.70%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.23
博彩公司预测分布
76.11%79.77%79.46%80.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.131.181.171.2388.50%85.08%85.47%81.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
Málaga (客队)
预测 7.56%13.22公平赔率
EV +8.91%
优势 +0.619%
Kelly +0.665%
增长率 +0.059%
假设最高赔率为 14.40
博彩公司预测分布
6.62%7.61%7.57%9.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0012.3612.2514.4011.11%8.09%8.16%6.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 12.76%7.83公平赔率
EV +5.55%
优势 +0.671%
Kelly +0.764%
增长率 +0.042%
假设最高赔率为 8.27
博彩公司预测分布
11.50%12.62%12.98%16.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.757.177.138.2717.39%13.94%14.04%12.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Real Madrid (主队)：79.67%；Málaga (客队)：7.56%；平局：12.76%。 对于“Málaga (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为13.22。 有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为14.40，由此产生+8.91%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.04%EV -2.00%E -1.63%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 14.40I 6.94%NM 6.84%EV +8.91%E +0.619%K +0.665%G +0.059% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.13%EV -4.27%E -0.570%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 19:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.10%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.80%EV +7.77%E +0.546%K +0.587%G +0.046% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.10%EV -5.55%E -0.750%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.54%EV -5.99%E -5.07%K -33.25%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +5.88%E +0.420%K +0.453%G +0.027% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -4.27%E -0.570%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 16:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.62%EV +5.88%E +0.420%K +0.453%G +0.027% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -26.61%E -4.63%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 19:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.85%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.31%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -1.68%E -0.129%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -5.55%E -0.750%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 19:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.99%E -5.07%K -33.25%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -1.68%E -0.129%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -4.27%E -0.570%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.77%EV -5.99%E -5.07%K -33.25%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV -1.68%E -0.129%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -7.47%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 16:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.78%E -5.80%K -39.89%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -1.68%E -0.129%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.66%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.78%E -5.80%K -39.89%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -1.68%E -0.129%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.66%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.78%E -5.80%K -39.89%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -1.68%E -0.129%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.66%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -9.17%E -8.05%K -65.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -1.68%E -0.129%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -10.66%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.31%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.37%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.36%EV -5.46%E -0.437%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.33%EV -11.93%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -9.24%E -0.770%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.66%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -9.24%E -0.770%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.66%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.63%EV -6.78%E -5.80%K -39.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV -9.24%E -0.770%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.50%EV +4.66%E +0.568%K +0.647%G +0.030% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 16:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.99%E -5.07%K -33.25%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.24%E -0.770%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -4.27%E -0.570%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -6.78%E -5.80%K -39.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -9.24%E -0.770%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -10.66%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.38%E -7.28%K -55.84%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -9.24%E -0.770%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -10.66%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -8.38%E -7.28%K -55.84%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -9.24%E -0.770%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -17.04%E -2.62%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.22%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.31%G +0.000% | 11.59I 8.63%NM 8.24%EV -12.34%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.27I 12.09%NM 11.54%EV +5.55%E +0.671%K +0.764%G +0.042% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -6.78%E -5.80%K -39.89%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +2.11%E +0.263%K +0.301%G +0.006% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.02%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.64%EV -7.47%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.37%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -24.37%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -7.47%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 19:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 76.11%EV -9.97%E -8.82%K -76.68%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.56%EV -31.93%E -3.55%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.33%EV -23.42%E -3.90%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-08-23 19:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.27% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.78% | 2.9% | 2026-08-23 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.27% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.78% | 2.9% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.27% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.78% | 2.9% | 2026-08-23 16:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.64% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.77% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.58% | 3.3% | 2026-08-23 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.61% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.41% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 19:25 |