Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.83
assuming max odds 5.10
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Betis (Local): 54.07%; Sevilla (Visit): 20.15%; Draw: 25.78%. For Sevilla (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.96. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.78%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV +2.78%E +0.545%K +0.678%G +0.019% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.87%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.23%EV +1.77%E +0.351%K +0.438%G +0.008% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90%EV -3.33%E -0.888%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-01 16:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.48%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.12%EV +1.77%E +0.351%K +0.438%G +0.008% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.48%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.12%EV +1.77%E +0.351%K +0.438%G +0.008% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.09%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%EV +0.766%E +0.153%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 16:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.09%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%EV +0.766%E +0.153%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 16:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.09%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%EV +0.766%E +0.153%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.95%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.74%EV -0.847%E -0.172%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.32%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-01 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 16:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 16:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 16:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 16:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 16:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -8.08%E -4.76%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-01 16:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.94%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.89%EV -1.65%E -0.339%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.17%EV -4.36%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.44%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.49%EV -2.56%E -0.677%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.14%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.96%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.90%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.75%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.75%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.89%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 17:22 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.36%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 16:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -4.27%E -0.899%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -4.27%E -0.899%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 17:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -4.27%E -0.899%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.33%E -0.888%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -4.27%E -0.899%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -4.27%E -0.899%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -9.71%E -5.81%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -4.27%E -0.899%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 16:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.30%EV -5.28%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -5.28%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 17:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -3.76%E -2.11%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -5.28%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -8.49%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.28%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -3.33%E -0.888%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 16:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.28%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.33%E -0.888%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 16:43 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -6.46%E -3.74%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.33%E -0.888%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 16:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-01 17:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-01 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -8.08%E -4.76%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.49%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 16:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -8.08%E -4.76%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.49%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%EV -1.05%E -0.576%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 16:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 17:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.46%E -3.74%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 17:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 17:23 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.95%EV -8.62%E -5.10%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-01 17:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -13.34%E -3.10%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -9.71%E -5.81%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -20.09%E -6.48%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.07% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.32% | -0.0% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.20% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.24% | 0.3% | 2026-03-01 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.20% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.24% | 0.3% | 2026-03-01 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.88% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58% | 0.3% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.82% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |