L’École des cotes

Real Betis v Sevilla

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Betis (Local)

Prévision 54.07%1.85cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.576%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.64%54.05%54.09%55.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.741.751.8359.88%57.47%57.14%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sevilla (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.15%4.96cote équitable
EV +2.78%
Avantage +0.545%
Kelly +0.678%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.02%20.17%20.14%21.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.714.755.1023.81%21.21%21.05%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.78%3.88cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -0.537%
Kelly -0.729%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.91%25.78%25.76%27.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.653.653.8032.26%27.39%27.40%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV +2.78%E +0.545%K +0.678%G +0.019%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 16:35
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.87%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.23%EV +1.77%E +0.351%K +0.438%G +0.008%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90%EV -3.33%E -0.888%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 16:44
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.48%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.12%EV +1.77%E +0.351%K +0.438%G +0.008%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 17:24
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.48%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.12%EV +1.77%E +0.351%K +0.438%G +0.008%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.09%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%EV +0.766%E +0.153%K +0.191%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 16:34
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.09%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%EV +0.766%E +0.153%K +0.191%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 16:34
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.09%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%EV +0.766%E +0.153%K +0.191%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 16:35
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.95%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.74%EV -0.847%E -0.172%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.32%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:34
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:34
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:34
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:34
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:34
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:35
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:35
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -8.08%E -4.76%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 16:34
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.94%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.89%EV -1.65%E -0.339%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.17%EV -4.36%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 17:24
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.44%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.49%EV -2.56%E -0.677%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 17:24
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.14%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.96%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.90%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 17:24
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.75%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 17:24
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.75%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 17:24
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 53.89%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 17:22
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.36%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 16:44
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 17:24
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -4.27%E -0.899%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 17:24
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -4.27%E -0.899%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 17:23
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -4.27%E -0.899%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.33%E -0.888%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 17:24
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -4.27%E -0.899%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 17:24
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -4.27%E -0.899%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 17:25
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -9.71%E -5.81%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -4.27%E -0.899%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 16:34
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.30%EV -5.28%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 17:24
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -5.28%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 17:19
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -3.76%E -2.11%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -5.28%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -8.49%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 17:24
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.28%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 17:25
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -3.33%E -0.888%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 16:45
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.28%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.33%E -0.888%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 16:43
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -6.46%E -3.74%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.33%E -0.888%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 16:44
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 17:25
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 17:25
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 17:24
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -8.08%E -4.76%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.49%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 16:34
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -8.08%E -4.76%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.49%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 16:35
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%EV -1.05%E -0.576%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 17:24
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 17:24
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 16:45
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 16:44
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 17:24
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 17:24
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 17:24
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 17:24
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 17:19
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.46%E -3.74%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 17:25
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 17:23
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 53.95%EV -8.62%E -5.10%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 17:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -13.34%E -3.10%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -9.71%E -5.81%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -20.09%E -6.48%K -9.57%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-01 17:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 54.07%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.32%-0.0%2026-03-01 17:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.20%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.24%0.3%2026-03-01 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.20%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.24%0.3%2026-03-01 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.88%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%0.3%2026-03-01 17:24
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.82%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-03-01 17:24