La escuela de los momios

Real Betis v Sevilla

Inicio: 2026-03-01 17:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Real Betis (Local)

Predicción 54.07%1.85momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.576%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.64%54.05%54.09%55.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.741.751.8359.88%57.47%57.14%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sevilla (Visitante)

Predicción 20.15%4.96momio equitativo
EV +2.78%
Ventaja +0.545%
Kelly +0.678%
Crecimiento +0.019%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.02%20.17%20.14%21.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.714.755.1023.81%21.21%21.05%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.78%3.88momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.537%
Kelly -0.729%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.91%25.78%25.76%27.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.653.653.8032.26%27.39%27.40%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV +2.78%E +0.545%K +0.678%G +0.019%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 16:35
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.87%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.23%EV +1.77%E +0.351%K +0.438%G +0.008%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90%EV -3.33%E -0.888%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 16:44
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.48%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.12%EV +1.77%E +0.351%K +0.438%G +0.008%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 17:24
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.48%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.12%EV +1.77%E +0.351%K +0.438%G +0.008%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.09%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%EV +0.766%E +0.153%K +0.191%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 16:34
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.09%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%EV +0.766%E +0.153%K +0.191%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 16:34
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.09%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%EV +0.766%E +0.153%K +0.191%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 16:35
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.95%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.74%EV -0.847%E -0.172%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.32%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:34
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:34
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:34
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:34
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:34
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:35
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:35
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -8.08%E -4.76%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.25%E -0.255%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 16:34
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.94%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.89%EV -1.65%E -0.339%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.17%EV -4.36%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 17:24
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.44%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.49%EV -2.56%E -0.677%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 17:24
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.14%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.96%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.90%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 17:24
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.75%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 17:24
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.75%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 17:24
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 53.89%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 17:22
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.36%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -2.04%E -0.537%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 16:44
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -3.26%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 17:24
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -4.27%E -0.899%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 17:24
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -4.27%E -0.899%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 17:23
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -4.27%E -0.899%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.33%E -0.888%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 17:24
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -4.27%E -0.899%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 17:24
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -4.27%E -0.899%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 17:25
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -9.71%E -5.81%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -4.27%E -0.899%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 16:34
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.30%EV -5.28%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 17:24
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -5.28%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 17:19
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -3.76%E -2.11%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -5.28%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -8.49%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 17:24
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.28%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 17:25
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -3.33%E -0.888%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 16:45
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.28%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.33%E -0.888%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 16:43
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -6.46%E -3.74%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.33%E -0.888%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 16:44
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 17:25
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 17:25
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 17:24
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -8.08%E -4.76%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.49%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 16:34
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -8.08%E -4.76%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.49%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 16:35
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%EV -1.05%E -0.576%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 17:24
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 17:24
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 16:45
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 16:44
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 17:24
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 17:24
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 17:24
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 17:24
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 17:19
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.46%E -3.74%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 17:25
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 17:23
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 53.95%EV -8.62%E -5.10%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 17:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -13.34%E -3.10%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -9.71%E -5.81%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -20.09%E -6.48%K -9.57%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-01 17:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 54.07%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.32%-0.0%2026-03-01 17:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.20%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.24%0.3%2026-03-01 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.20%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.24%0.3%2026-03-01 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.88%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%0.3%2026-03-01 17:24
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.82%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-03-01 17:24