Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.57
assuming max odds 2.33
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oviedo (Local): 28.98%; Villarreal (Visit): 42.16%; Draw: 28.86%. For Oviedo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.44%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.15%EV +3.44%E +0.964%K +1.34%G +0.046% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.47%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV +2.86%E +0.806%K +1.12%G +0.032% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -10.61%E -5.00%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -3.32%E -0.991%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21%EV -0.035%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.31%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -0.035%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.52%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -0.035%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.52%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -0.035%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.52%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%EV -0.035%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.89%EV -4.71%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.02%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.81%EV -2.35%E -0.698%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.98%EV -3.32%E -0.991%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 19:28 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.68%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -3.32%E -0.991%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.49%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 19:21 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.21%EV -3.51%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -1.76%E -0.754%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04%EV -3.32%E -0.991%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -3.51%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.99%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -3.90%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -3.51%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.99%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -3.90%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.85%EV -5.25%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.85%EV -5.63%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -4.29%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -3.32%E -0.991%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -3.32%E -0.991%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -8.92%E -4.13%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:28 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -8.50%E -3.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -8.50%E -3.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -8.50%E -3.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -9.60%E -3.08%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -1.88%E -0.552%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.88%E -0.552%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.88%E -0.552%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -11.63%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -1.88%E -0.552%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -11.63%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -3.32%E -0.991%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37% | 0.7% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.07% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46% | 1.8% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |