Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Oviedo v Villarreal

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 19:32 UTC

Score final : Oviedo 1–1 Villarreal

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Oviedo (Local)

Prévision 28.98%3.45cote équitable
EV +3.44%
Avantage +0.964%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 3.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.78%28.90%29.01%30.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.263.253.5733.33%30.68%30.77%28.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Villarreal (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.16%2.37cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.754%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.23%42.30%42.13%44.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.122.242.252.3347.17%44.73%44.44%42.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.86%3.47cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.552%
Kelly -0.782%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.19%28.80%28.86%30.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.273.303.4033.33%30.55%30.30%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Oviedo (Local) : 28.98% ; Villarreal (Visiteur) : 42.16% ; Match nul : 28.86%. Pour Oviedo (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.45. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.57, soit une espérance positive de +3.44%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 27.15%EV +3.44%E +0.964%K +1.34%G +0.046%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.47%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV +2.86%E +0.806%K +1.12%G +0.032%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -10.61%E -5.00%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -3.32%E -0.991%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:29
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21%EV -0.035%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.31%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -0.035%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.52%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -0.035%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.52%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -0.035%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.52%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 19:29
Marathon Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%EV -0.035%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.89%EV -4.71%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.02%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 19:29
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:30
Coolbet🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.81%EV -2.35%E -0.698%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.98%EV -3.32%E -0.991%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 19:28
Unibet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.68%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -3.32%E -0.991%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 19:29
PMU (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.49%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 19:29
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:30
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:29
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:30
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:30
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:30
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:21
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:30
Pinnacle🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 29.21%EV -3.51%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -1.76%E -0.754%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04%EV -3.32%E -0.991%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 19:29
LowVig.ag🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -3.51%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.99%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -3.90%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 19:29
BetOnline.ag🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -3.51%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.99%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -3.90%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 19:30
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 19:29
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:30
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 19:30
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 19:30
Betclic (FR)🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 28.85%EV -5.25%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.85%EV -5.63%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -4.29%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -3.32%E -0.991%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:29
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -3.32%E -0.991%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 19:29
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 19:29
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -8.92%E -4.13%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 19:30
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:28
Everygame🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:30
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:30
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 19:29
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 19:29
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -8.50%E -3.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 19:29
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -8.50%E -3.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 19:30
NetBet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -8.50%E -3.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 19:29
Fliff🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 19:29
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -9.60%E -3.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -1.88%E -0.552%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 19:30
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:29
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:30
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:30
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:29
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.88%E -0.552%K -0.782%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.88%E -0.552%K -0.782%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:29
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 19:30
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 19:29
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -11.63%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -1.88%E -0.552%K -0.782%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:29
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -11.63%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -3.32%E -0.991%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:29
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 19:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-04-23 19:30
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-04-23 19:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-04-23 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-04-23 19:29
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%1.8%2026-04-23 19:30
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-04-23 19:30