StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Oviedo v Atlético Madrid

Matchstart: 2026-02-28 20:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Oviedo (Hemma)

Prognos 19.92%5.02rättvist odds
EV +5.57%
Fördel +1.05%
Kelly +1.29%
Tillväxt +0.072%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.30%20.02%19.88%22.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.304.794.755.3023.26%20.89%21.05%18.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Atlético Madrid (Borta)

Prognos 53.30%1.88rättvist odds
EV +0.744%
Fördel +0.394%
Kelly +0.836%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.89

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.83%53.23%53.28%55.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.671.761.771.8959.88%56.70%56.66%52.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.78%3.73rättvist odds
EV -2.26%
Fördel -0.619%
Kelly -0.853%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.97%26.74%26.84%28.21%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.513.503.6532.26%28.49%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Oviedo (Hemma): 19.92%; Atlético Madrid (Borta): 53.30%; Oavgjort: 26.78%. För Oviedo (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.02. 13 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.30, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +5.57%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (NL)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV +5.57%E +1.05%K +1.29%G +0.072%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.12%EV -6.19%E -3.51%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV -2.26%E -0.619%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 19:45
ATG (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.55%EV +4.57%E +0.871%K +1.08%G +0.049%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.40%EV -4.59%E -2.56%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -3.60%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-28 19:44
Unibet (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.44%EV +4.57%E +0.871%K +1.08%G +0.049%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.68%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -3.60%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 19:44
Svenska Spel🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.44%EV +4.57%E +0.871%K +1.08%G +0.049%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.68%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -3.60%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 19:44
1xBet🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.80%EV +2.58%E +0.501%K +0.622%G +0.016%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.08%EV -4.59%E -2.56%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.12%EV -4.40%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 19:54
Casumo🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +1.58%E +0.311%K +0.386%G +0.006%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -8.85%E -5.18%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:44
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +1.58%E +0.311%K +0.386%G +0.006%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -8.85%E -5.18%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:44
Unibet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +1.58%E +0.311%K +0.386%G +0.006%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -8.85%E -5.18%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:44
TABtouch🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +1.58%E +0.311%K +0.386%G +0.006%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -8.85%E -5.18%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +1.58%E +0.311%K +0.386%G +0.006%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -8.85%E -5.18%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:45
betPARX🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +1.58%E +0.311%K +0.386%G +0.006%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -8.85%E -5.18%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:44
Bally Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +1.58%E +0.311%K +0.386%G +0.006%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -8.85%E -5.18%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:44
BetRivers🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV +1.58%E +0.311%K +0.386%G +0.006%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -9.38%E -5.52%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 19:45
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.47%EV -0.408%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.49%EV -2.99%E -1.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04%EV -3.60%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-28 19:34
LowVig.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.31%EV -0.408%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.24%EV -5.12%E -2.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.26%E -0.619%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 19:39
BetOnline.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.31%EV -0.408%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.24%EV -5.12%E -2.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.26%E -0.619%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 19:40
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -0.408%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 19:49
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -0.408%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -7.25%E -4.17%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 21:04
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -0.408%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -10.45%E -6.22%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 19:45
Pinnacle🎯4.92I 20.33%NM 19.75%EV -2.00%E -0.407%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.10%EV -2.45%E -1.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.14%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-28 19:44
Betclic (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.64%EV -2.40%E -0.490%K -0.615%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.47%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.89%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 19:53
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.35%EV -2.40%E -0.490%K -0.615%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.56%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 19:44
Tipico (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -2.40%E -0.490%K -0.615%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 19:39
Unibet (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -3.40%E -0.700%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.51%EV -7.78%E -4.50%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.05%EV -3.06%E -0.846%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 19:55
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -4.39%E -0.915%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.28%EV -6.19%E -3.51%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 19:44
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 19:39
Bovada🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.30%EV -5.12%E -2.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 19:49
Everygame🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.61%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 19:40
Sky Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.60%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 19:35
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 19:39
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 19:44
LiveScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -9.38%E -5.52%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:44
Virgin Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.38%E -5.52%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 19:44
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.38%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.11%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -3.60%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 19:39
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -6.38%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.86%EV -6.19%E -3.51%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.97%EV -2.26%E -0.619%K -0.853%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 19:54
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -6.38%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.69%EV -7.78%E -4.50%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 19:54
Winamax (FR)🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -7.38%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.64%EV -7.25%E -4.17%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 19:55
Codere (IT)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.63%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.01%EV -4.59%E -2.56%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -3.60%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 19:54
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.15%EV -5.12%E -2.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.60%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 19:54
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.63%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 19:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.63%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 19:55
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.60%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -5.12%E -2.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 19:55
TAB🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 19:44
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -7.78%E -4.50%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 19:39
Fliff🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.11%EV -8.85%E -5.18%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 19:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -10.98%E -6.58%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-28 19:44
Betsson🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.28%EV -11.36%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.04%EV -2.99%E -1.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 19:54
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.28%EV -11.36%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.04%EV -2.99%E -1.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 19:54
Coral🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -2.45%E -1.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -2.45%E -1.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 19:14
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -2.45%E -1.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 19:25
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -2.99%E -1.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -2.99%E -1.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:14
Bet Right🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.61%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34%EV -14.35%E -3.34%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.83%EV +0.744%E +0.394%K +0.836%G +0.006%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.83%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 19:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-02-28 19:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-02-28 19:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-02-28 19:54
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-02-28 19:49
Smarkets5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-02-28 19:54