L’École des cotes

Oviedo v Atlético Madrid

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Oviedo (Local)

Prévision 19.92%5.02cote équitable
EV +5.57%
Avantage +1.05%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.072%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.30%20.02%19.88%22.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.794.755.3023.26%20.89%21.05%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlético Madrid (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.30%1.88cote équitable
EV +0.744%
Avantage +0.394%
Kelly +0.836%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.83%53.23%53.28%55.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.761.771.8959.88%56.70%56.66%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.78%3.73cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -0.619%
Kelly -0.853%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.97%26.74%26.84%28.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.513.503.6532.26%28.49%28.57%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV +5.57%E +1.05%K +1.29%G +0.072%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.12%EV -6.19%E -3.51%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV -2.26%E -0.619%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 19:45
ATG (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.55%EV +4.57%E +0.871%K +1.08%G +0.049%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.40%EV -4.59%E -2.56%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -3.60%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-28 19:44
Unibet (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.44%EV +4.57%E +0.871%K +1.08%G +0.049%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.68%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -3.60%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 19:44
Svenska Spel5.25I 19.05%NM 18.44%EV +4.57%E +0.871%K +1.08%G +0.049%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.68%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -3.60%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 19:44
1xBet5.15I 19.42%NM 18.80%EV +2.58%E +0.501%K +0.622%G +0.016%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.08%EV -4.59%E -2.56%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.12%EV -4.40%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 19:54
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +1.58%E +0.311%K +0.386%G +0.006%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -8.85%E -5.18%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:44
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +1.58%E +0.311%K +0.386%G +0.006%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -8.85%E -5.18%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:44
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +1.58%E +0.311%K +0.386%G +0.006%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -8.85%E -5.18%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:44
TABtouch5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +1.58%E +0.311%K +0.386%G +0.006%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -8.85%E -5.18%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +1.58%E +0.311%K +0.386%G +0.006%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -8.85%E -5.18%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:45
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +1.58%E +0.311%K +0.386%G +0.006%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -8.85%E -5.18%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:44
Bally Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +1.58%E +0.311%K +0.386%G +0.006%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -8.85%E -5.18%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:44
BetRivers5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV +1.58%E +0.311%K +0.386%G +0.006%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -9.38%E -5.52%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 19:45
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.47%EV -0.408%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.49%EV -2.99%E -1.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04%EV -3.60%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-28 19:34
LowVig.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.31%EV -0.408%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.24%EV -5.12%E -2.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.26%E -0.619%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 19:39
BetOnline.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.31%EV -0.408%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.24%EV -5.12%E -2.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.26%E -0.619%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 19:40
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -0.408%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 19:49
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -0.408%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -7.25%E -4.17%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 21:04
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -0.408%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -10.45%E -6.22%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 19:45
Pinnacle4.92I 20.33%NM 19.75%EV -2.00%E -0.407%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.10%EV -2.45%E -1.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.14%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-28 19:44
Betclic (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.64%EV -2.40%E -0.490%K -0.615%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.47%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.89%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 19:53
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.35%EV -2.40%E -0.490%K -0.615%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.56%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 19:44
Tipico (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -2.40%E -0.490%K -0.615%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 19:39
Unibet (FR)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -3.40%E -0.700%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.51%EV -7.78%E -4.50%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.05%EV -3.06%E -0.846%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 19:55
PMU (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -4.39%E -0.915%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.28%EV -6.19%E -3.51%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 19:44
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 19:39
Bovada4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.30%EV -5.12%E -2.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 19:49
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.61%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 19:40
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.60%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 19:35
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 19:39
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 19:44
LiveScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -9.38%E -5.52%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:44
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.38%E -5.52%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 19:44
DraftKings4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.38%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.11%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -3.60%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 19:39
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -6.38%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.86%EV -6.19%E -3.51%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.97%EV -2.26%E -0.619%K -0.853%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 19:54
NetBet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -6.38%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.69%EV -7.78%E -4.50%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 19:54
Winamax (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -7.38%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.64%EV -7.25%E -4.17%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 19:55
Codere (IT)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.63%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.01%EV -4.59%E -2.56%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -3.60%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 19:54
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.15%EV -5.12%E -2.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.60%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 19:54
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.63%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 19:54
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.63%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 19:55
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.60%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 19:55
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -5.12%E -2.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 19:55
TAB4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 19:44
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -7.78%E -4.50%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 19:39
Fliff4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.11%EV -8.85%E -5.18%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 19:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -10.98%E -6.58%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-28 19:44
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 21.28%EV -11.36%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.04%EV -2.99%E -1.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 19:54
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.28%EV -11.36%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.04%EV -2.99%E -1.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 19:54
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -2.45%E -1.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -2.45%E -1.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 19:14
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -2.45%E -1.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 19:25
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -2.99%E -1.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:14
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -2.99%E -1.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:14
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.61%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 19:55
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34%EV -14.35%E -3.34%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.83%EV +0.744%E +0.394%K +0.836%G +0.006%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.83%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 19:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-02-28 19:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-02-28 19:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-02-28 19:54
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-02-28 19:49
Smarkets5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-02-28 19:54