La scuola delle quote

Mallorca v Valencia

Inizio: 2026-04-21 17:02 UTC

Finale: Mallorca 1–1 Valencia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Mallorca (Casa)

Previsione 35.16%2.84quota equa
EV -0.859%
Vantaggio -0.305%
Kelly -0.472%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.08%35.25%35.19%36.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.652.622.8240.00%37.79%38.17%35.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Valencia (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.63%2.89quota equa
EV +2.17%
Vantaggio +0.736%
Kelly +1.11%
Crescita +0.024%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.60%34.59%34.55%35.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.762.752.9541.67%36.27%36.36%33.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.21%3.31quota equa
EV +2.71%
Vantaggio +0.798%
Kelly +1.13%
Crescita +0.031%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.85%30.16%30.27%31.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.123.103.4035.71%32.05%32.26%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV +2.71%E +0.798%K +1.13%G +0.031%5.6%2026-04-21 17:01
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.46%EV -3.67%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.46%EV -5.10%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.09%EV +0.901%E +0.270%K +0.385%G +0.003%2.9%2026-04-21 16:59
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -0.308%E -0.093%K -0.134%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 17:01
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -5.78%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -7.18%E -2.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:00
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -5.78%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -7.18%E -2.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:01
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 16:59
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.808%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 17:01
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.75%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.39%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 17:01
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 17:00
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -6.84%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 17:00
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:00
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.08%EV -7.89%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 17:01
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 16:59
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 17:00
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 17:00
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 17:00
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 35.31%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.84%EV -0.254%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.84%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 16:59
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%EV -6.84%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.79%EV +2.17%E +0.736%K +1.11%G +0.024%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:00
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%EV -6.84%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.79%EV +2.17%E +0.736%K +1.11%G +0.024%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:00
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%EV -6.84%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.79%EV +2.17%E +0.736%K +1.11%G +0.024%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:01
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%EV -6.84%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.79%EV +2.17%E +0.736%K +1.11%G +0.024%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:01
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 16:59
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 16:59
Marathon Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.60%EV -1.56%E -0.558%K -0.868%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -2.33%E -0.827%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.05%EV -5.75%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 16:59
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV +0.439%E +0.151%K +0.231%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 16:59
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 17:01
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 16:59
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV +0.439%E +0.151%K +0.231%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 17:01
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV +0.439%E +0.151%K +0.231%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 17:00
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV +0.439%E +0.151%K +0.231%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 17:00
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV +0.439%E +0.151%K +0.231%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 17:01
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 17:01
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 17:01
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -7.54%E -2.87%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 17:01
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.89%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:01
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 16:59
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 17:00
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.89%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -9.26%E -3.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 16:59
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 17:00
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -0.859%E -0.305%K -0.472%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -2.33%E -0.827%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -6.95%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:00
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -0.859%E -0.305%K -0.472%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -2.33%E -0.827%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -6.95%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:01
Bovada2.73I 36.63%NM 34.67%EV -4.02%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 16:58
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.29%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -0.254%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 17:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.29%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -0.254%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 17:01
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.29%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -0.254%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 17:01
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -1.29%E -0.454%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 16:56
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 34.55%EV -6.13%E -2.30%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -9.26%E -3.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 16:59
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 17:00
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 17:01
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 17:00
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -1.29%E -0.454%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 17:00
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -7.89%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 17:01
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -9.26%E -3.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 17:00
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -12.11%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 17:01
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -12.11%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 17:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -12.11%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -16.88%E -7.03%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -15.41%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-21 17:01
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-04-21 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-04-21 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-04-21 17:01
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.96%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-04-21 17:00
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-04-21 17:01
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%1.9%2026-04-21 17:01