L’École des cotes

Mallorca v Valencia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 17:02 UTC

Score final : Mallorca 1–1 Valencia

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mallorca (Local)

Prévision 35.16%2.84cote équitable
EV -0.859%
Avantage -0.305%
Kelly -0.472%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.08%35.25%35.19%36.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.652.622.8240.00%37.79%38.17%35.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Valencia (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.63%2.89cote équitable
EV +2.17%
Avantage +0.736%
Kelly +1.11%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.60%34.59%34.55%35.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.762.752.9541.67%36.27%36.36%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.21%3.31cote équitable
EV +2.71%
Avantage +0.798%
Kelly +1.13%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.85%30.16%30.27%31.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.123.103.4035.71%32.05%32.26%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV +2.71%E +0.798%K +1.13%G +0.031%5.6%2026-04-21 17:01
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.46%EV -3.67%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.46%EV -5.10%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.09%EV +0.901%E +0.270%K +0.385%G +0.003%2.9%2026-04-21 16:59
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -0.308%E -0.093%K -0.134%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 17:01
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -5.78%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -7.18%E -2.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:00
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -5.78%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -7.18%E -2.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:01
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 16:59
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.808%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 17:01
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.75%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.39%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 17:01
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 17:00
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -6.84%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 17:00
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:00
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.08%EV -7.89%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 17:01
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 16:59
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 17:00
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 17:00
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 17:00
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 35.31%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.84%EV -0.254%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.84%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 16:59
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%EV -6.84%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.79%EV +2.17%E +0.736%K +1.11%G +0.024%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:00
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%EV -6.84%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.79%EV +2.17%E +0.736%K +1.11%G +0.024%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:00
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%EV -6.84%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.79%EV +2.17%E +0.736%K +1.11%G +0.024%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:01
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%EV -6.84%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.79%EV +2.17%E +0.736%K +1.11%G +0.024%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:01
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 16:59
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 16:59
Marathon Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.60%EV -1.56%E -0.558%K -0.868%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -2.33%E -0.827%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.05%EV -5.75%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 16:59
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV +0.439%E +0.151%K +0.231%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 16:59
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 17:01
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 16:59
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV +0.439%E +0.151%K +0.231%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 17:01
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV +0.439%E +0.151%K +0.231%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 17:00
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV +0.439%E +0.151%K +0.231%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 17:00
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV +0.439%E +0.151%K +0.231%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 17:01
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 17:01
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 17:01
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -7.54%E -2.87%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 17:01
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.89%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:01
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 16:59
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 17:00
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.89%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -9.26%E -3.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 16:59
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 17:00
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -0.859%E -0.305%K -0.472%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -2.33%E -0.827%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -6.95%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:00
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -0.859%E -0.305%K -0.472%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -2.33%E -0.827%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -6.95%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:01
Bovada2.73I 36.63%NM 34.67%EV -4.02%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 16:58
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.29%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -0.254%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 17:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.29%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -0.254%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 17:01
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.29%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -0.254%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 17:01
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -1.29%E -0.454%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 16:56
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 34.55%EV -6.13%E -2.30%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -9.26%E -3.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 16:59
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 17:00
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 17:01
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 17:00
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -1.29%E -0.454%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 17:00
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -7.89%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 17:01
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -9.26%E -3.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 17:00
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -12.11%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 17:01
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -12.11%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 17:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -12.11%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -16.88%E -7.03%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -15.41%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-21 17:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-04-21 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-04-21 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-04-21 17:01
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.96%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-04-21 17:00
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-04-21 17:01
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%1.9%2026-04-21 17:01