مدرسة الاحتمالات

Mallorca v Valencia

البداية: 2026-04-21 17:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Mallorca 1–1 Valencia

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Mallorca (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.16%2.84السعر العادل
EV -0.859%
الأفضلية -0.305%
Kelly -0.472%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.82

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.08%35.25%35.19%36.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.652.622.8240.00%37.79%38.17%35.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Valencia (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.63%2.89السعر العادل
EV +2.17%
الأفضلية +0.736%
Kelly +1.11%
النمو +0.024%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.60%34.59%34.55%35.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.762.752.9541.67%36.27%36.36%33.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.21%3.31السعر العادل
EV +2.71%
الأفضلية +0.798%
Kelly +1.13%
النمو +0.031%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.85%30.16%30.27%31.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.123.103.4035.71%32.05%32.26%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV +2.71%E +0.798%K +1.13%G +0.031%5.6%2026-04-21 17:01
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.46%EV -3.67%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.46%EV -5.10%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.09%EV +0.901%E +0.270%K +0.385%G +0.003%2.9%2026-04-21 16:59
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -0.308%E -0.093%K -0.134%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 17:01
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -5.78%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -7.18%E -2.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:00
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -5.78%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -7.18%E -2.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:01
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 16:59
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -1.82%E -0.559%K -0.808%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 17:01
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.75%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.39%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 17:01
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 17:00
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -6.84%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 17:00
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:00
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.08%EV -7.89%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 17:01
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 16:59
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 17:00
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 17:00
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 17:00
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 35.31%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.84%EV -0.254%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.84%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 16:59
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%EV -6.84%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.79%EV +2.17%E +0.736%K +1.11%G +0.024%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:00
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%EV -6.84%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.79%EV +2.17%E +0.736%K +1.11%G +0.024%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:00
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%EV -6.84%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.79%EV +2.17%E +0.736%K +1.11%G +0.024%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:01
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%EV -6.84%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.79%EV +2.17%E +0.736%K +1.11%G +0.024%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:01
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 16:59
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 16:59
Marathon Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.60%EV -1.56%E -0.558%K -0.868%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -2.33%E -0.827%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.05%EV -5.75%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 16:59
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV +0.439%E +0.151%K +0.231%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 16:59
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 17:01
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 16:59
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV +0.439%E +0.151%K +0.231%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 17:01
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV +0.439%E +0.151%K +0.231%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 17:00
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV +0.439%E +0.151%K +0.231%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 17:00
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV +0.439%E +0.151%K +0.231%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 17:01
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 17:01
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 17:01
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -7.54%E -2.87%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 17:01
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.89%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:01
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 16:59
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 17:00
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.89%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -9.26%E -3.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 16:59
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 17:00
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -0.859%E -0.305%K -0.472%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -2.33%E -0.827%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -6.95%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:00
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -0.859%E -0.305%K -0.472%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -2.33%E -0.827%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -6.95%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:01
Bovada2.73I 36.63%NM 34.67%EV -4.02%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 16:58
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.29%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -0.254%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 17:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.29%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -0.254%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 17:01
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.29%EV -8.59%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -0.254%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 17:01
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -1.29%E -0.454%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 16:56
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 34.55%EV -6.13%E -2.30%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -9.26%E -3.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 16:59
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 17:00
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 17:01
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 17:00
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -1.29%E -0.454%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 17:00
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -7.89%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 17:01
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -9.26%E -3.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 17:00
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -12.11%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 17:01
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -12.11%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 17:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -12.11%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -16.88%E -7.03%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -15.41%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-21 17:01
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-04-21 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-04-21 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-04-21 17:01
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.96%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-04-21 17:00
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-04-21 17:01
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%1.9%2026-04-21 17:01