Школа коэффициентов

Mallorca v Rayo Vallecano

Начало: 2026-04-12 14:15 UTC

Итог: Mallorca 3–0 Rayo Vallecano

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Mallorca (Хозяева)

Прогноз 39.38%2.54справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.33%
Преимущество -0.940%
Kelly -1.58%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.48

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
37.73%39.48%39.38%40.93%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.302.392.392.4843.48%41.87%41.84%40.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Rayo Vallecano (Гости)

Прогноз 31.27%3.20справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.80%
Преимущество +1.15%
Kelly +1.64%
Рост +0.062%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.32

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.22%31.09%31.29%32.65%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.703.043.023.3237.04%32.85%33.06%30.12%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 29.35%3.41справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.090%
Преимущество +0.026%
Kelly +0.037%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.41

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.23%29.43%29.32%30.62%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.183.203.4134.72%31.42%31.25%29.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Coolbet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.93%EV -6.66%E -2.81%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.22%EV +3.80%E +1.15%K +1.64%G +0.062%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 07:30
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.40%EV -2.33%E -0.940%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07%EV +1.61%E +0.497%K +0.717%G +0.012%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 14:10
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.69%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV +1.61%E +0.497%K +0.717%G +0.012%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.39%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 14:10
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.69%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV +1.61%E +0.497%K +0.717%G +0.012%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.39%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 14:10
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.89%EV -4.30%E -1.77%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV +1.61%E +0.497%K +0.717%G +0.012%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.29%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 14:10
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV +0.051%E +0.016%K +0.023%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 13:59
LowVig.ag2.43I 41.15%NM 39.77%EV -4.30%E -1.77%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.49%EV -0.887%E -0.280%K -0.409%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 14:10
BetOnline.ag2.43I 41.15%NM 39.77%EV -4.30%E -1.77%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.49%EV -0.887%E -0.280%K -0.409%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 14:10
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -1.51%E -0.480%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 14:10
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -1.51%E -0.480%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 14:10
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -1.51%E -0.480%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 14:10
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -1.51%E -0.480%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 14:10
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -1.51%E -0.480%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 14:10
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -1.51%E -0.480%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -1.51%E -0.480%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 14:10
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 39.41%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 31.00%EV -1.83%E -0.581%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.59%EV -3.43%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-12 14:10
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 39.73%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07%EV -2.45%E -0.785%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.20%EV -2.55%E -0.769%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 14:10
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.08%E -0.992%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 13:29
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.08%E -0.992%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -10.48%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 14:04
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.08%E -0.992%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 14:10
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.08%E -0.992%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 14:10
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -4.64%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 13:59
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.40%EV -4.70%E -1.94%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -4.64%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 14:10
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.40%EV -4.70%E -1.94%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -4.64%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 14:10
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 39.22%EV -4.70%E -1.94%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -4.64%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 14:10
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.64%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 14:09
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -8.63%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -4.64%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -10.48%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 14:10
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -8.63%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -4.64%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -10.48%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 14:10
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -8.63%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -4.64%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -10.48%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 14:10
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 39.16%EV -2.33%E -0.940%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.37%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.48%EV +0.090%E +0.026%K +0.037%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 14:00
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 14:09
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 14:01
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 14:09
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 14:10
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -6.66%E -2.81%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 14:10
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.66%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.87%EV -4.02%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 14:10
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 14:09
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.66%E -2.81%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:00
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:30
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 14:10
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 14:10
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -7.77%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:09
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.77%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.77%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 14:00
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.77%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 14:10
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -7.77%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:00
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.20%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -8.70%E -2.98%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:09
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -9.33%E -3.22%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 14:09
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.33%E -3.22%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 14:01
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.33%E -3.22%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.33%E -3.22%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 14:01
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.33%E -3.22%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 14:10
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.33%E -3.22%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:10
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.33%E -3.22%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:10
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.33%E -3.22%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -15.58%E -5.77%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -15.47%E -5.37%K -8.23%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-12 14:10
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-04-12 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-04-12 14:00
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-04-12 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.8%2026-04-12 14:10
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.19%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-04-12 14:10
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%2.0%2026-04-12 14:10