La scuola delle quote

Mallorca v Rayo Vallecano

Inizio: 2026-04-12 14:15 UTC

Finale: Mallorca 3–0 Rayo Vallecano

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Mallorca (Casa)

Previsione 39.38%2.54quota equa
EV -2.33%
Vantaggio -0.940%
Kelly -1.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.73%39.48%39.38%40.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.392.392.4843.48%41.87%41.84%40.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rayo Vallecano (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.27%3.20quota equa
EV +3.80%
Vantaggio +1.15%
Kelly +1.64%
Crescita +0.062%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.22%31.09%31.29%32.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.043.023.3237.04%32.85%33.06%30.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.35%3.41quota equa
EV +0.090%
Vantaggio +0.026%
Kelly +0.037%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.23%29.43%29.32%30.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.183.203.4134.72%31.42%31.25%29.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.93%EV -6.66%E -2.81%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.22%EV +3.80%E +1.15%K +1.64%G +0.062%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 07:30
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.40%EV -2.33%E -0.940%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07%EV +1.61%E +0.497%K +0.717%G +0.012%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 14:10
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.69%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV +1.61%E +0.497%K +0.717%G +0.012%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.39%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 14:10
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.69%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV +1.61%E +0.497%K +0.717%G +0.012%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.39%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 14:10
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.89%EV -4.30%E -1.77%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV +1.61%E +0.497%K +0.717%G +0.012%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.29%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 14:10
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV +0.051%E +0.016%K +0.023%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 13:59
LowVig.ag2.43I 41.15%NM 39.77%EV -4.30%E -1.77%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.49%EV -0.887%E -0.280%K -0.409%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 14:10
BetOnline.ag2.43I 41.15%NM 39.77%EV -4.30%E -1.77%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.49%EV -0.887%E -0.280%K -0.409%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 14:10
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -1.51%E -0.480%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 14:10
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -1.51%E -0.480%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 14:10
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -1.51%E -0.480%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 14:10
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -1.51%E -0.480%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 14:10
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -1.51%E -0.480%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 14:10
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -1.51%E -0.480%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -1.51%E -0.480%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 14:10
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 39.41%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 31.00%EV -1.83%E -0.581%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.59%EV -3.43%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-12 14:10
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 39.73%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07%EV -2.45%E -0.785%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.20%EV -2.55%E -0.769%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 14:10
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.08%E -0.992%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 13:29
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.08%E -0.992%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -10.48%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 14:04
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.08%E -0.992%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 14:10
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.08%E -0.992%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 14:10
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -4.64%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 13:59
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.40%EV -4.70%E -1.94%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -4.64%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 14:10
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.40%EV -4.70%E -1.94%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -4.64%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 14:10
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 39.22%EV -4.70%E -1.94%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -4.64%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 14:10
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.64%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 14:09
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -8.63%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -4.64%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -10.48%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 14:10
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -8.63%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -4.64%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -10.48%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 14:10
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -8.63%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -4.64%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -10.48%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 14:10
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 39.16%EV -2.33%E -0.940%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.37%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.48%EV +0.090%E +0.026%K +0.037%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 14:00
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 14:09
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 14:01
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 14:09
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 14:10
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -6.66%E -2.81%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 14:10
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.66%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.87%EV -4.02%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 14:10
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 14:09
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.66%E -2.81%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:00
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:30
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 14:10
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 14:10
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -7.77%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:09
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.77%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.77%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 14:00
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.77%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 14:10
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -7.77%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:00
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.20%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -8.70%E -2.98%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:09
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -9.33%E -3.22%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 14:09
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.33%E -3.22%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 14:01
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.33%E -3.22%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.33%E -3.22%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 14:01
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.33%E -3.22%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 14:10
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.33%E -3.22%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:10
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.33%E -3.22%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:10
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.33%E -3.22%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -15.58%E -5.77%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -15.47%E -5.37%K -8.23%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-12 14:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-04-12 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-04-12 14:00
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-04-12 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.8%2026-04-12 14:10
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.19%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-04-12 14:10
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%2.0%2026-04-12 14:10