Language:English
Málaga v Real Sociedad
Head to Head
Málaga (Local)
Prediction 30.02%3.33fair odd
EV -0.918%
Edge -0.278%
Kelly -0.399%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.53%29.98%30.07%30.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.133.103.3035.71%31.94%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Sociedad (Visit)
Prediction 43.02%2.32fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.08%43.17%43.02%44.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.152.2950.00%46.15%46.51%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.95%3.71fair odd
EV +2.42%
Edge +0.636%
Kelly +0.864%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.04%26.85%26.91%28.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.463.453.8030.77%28.88%28.99%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Málaga (Local): 30.02%; Real Sociedad (Visit): 43.02%; Draw: 26.95%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.80, producing a positive expected value of +2.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV +2.42%E +0.636%K +0.864%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 10:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -0.277%E -0.075%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 02:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.91%EV -1.22%E -0.370%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.98%EV -1.48%E -0.645%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 27.11%EV -2.16%E -0.596%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-09-24 10:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.97%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 10:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.97%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 10:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.97%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 02:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -2.97%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 02:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.97%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 10:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.97%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 10:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.97%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.97%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 10:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -2.97%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-27 02:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -2.97%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-27 02:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -2.97%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-27 02:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22%EV -0.918%E -0.278%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.24%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22%EV -0.918%E -0.278%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.24%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22%EV -0.918%E -0.278%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.24%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22%EV -0.918%E -0.278%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.24%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22%EV -0.918%E -0.278%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.24%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.24%EV -2.12%E -0.650%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.53%EV -5.78%E -2.64%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.24%EV -2.12%E -0.650%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.53%EV -5.78%E -2.64%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.53%EV -3.63%E -1.62%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 13:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -2.42%E -0.744%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.43%EV -6.21%E -2.85%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 13:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.61%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 04:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.61%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 04:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -0.918%E -0.278%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-23 05:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 13:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -6.64%E -3.06%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -6.21%E -2.85%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-11 13:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.90%EV -7.82%E -2.55%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.10%EV -8.36%E -3.93%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 13:31 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 11:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 11:52 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-11 10:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -7.93%E -3.71%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -7.93%E -3.71%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -7.93%E -3.71%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 13:37 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-11 04:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-21 16:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-21 16:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 04:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 13:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.80%E -5.76%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -8.79%E -4.15%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -15.93%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -13.95%E -6.98%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.12% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20% | 3.1% | 2026-10-11 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.48% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81% | 3.6% | 2026-10-11 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.48% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81% | 3.6% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.48% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81% | 3.6% | 2026-10-11 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 14:00 |