语言:简体中文
Málaga v Real Sociedad
胜负盘
Málaga (主队)
预测 29.64%3.37公平赔率
EV +0.787%
优势 +0.231%
Kelly +0.328%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 3.40
博彩公司预测分布
28.40%29.68%29.68%30.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.143.153.4034.48%31.82%31.75%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
Real Sociedad (客队)
预测 43.56%2.30公平赔率
EV -3.30%
优势 -1.49%
Kelly -2.71%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.22
博彩公司预测分布
42.59%43.57%43.52%45.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.962.102.102.2251.02%47.53%47.62%45.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.80%3.73公平赔率
EV +1.84%
优势 +0.484%
Kelly +0.657%
增长率 +0.012%
假设最高赔率为 3.80
博彩公司预测分布
25.02%26.75%26.80%27.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.503.453.8030.77%28.54%28.99%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Málaga (主队)：29.64%；Real Sociedad (客队)：43.56%；平局：26.80%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.73。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为3.80，由此产生+1.84%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV +1.84%E +0.484%K +0.657%G +0.012% | 5.2% | 2026-09-21 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV +0.501%E +0.134%K +0.182%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 08:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%EV +0.787%E +0.231%K +0.328%G +0.003% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.53%EV -3.74%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.53%EV -0.571%E -0.154%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-09-21 13:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -0.839%E -0.227%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-21 13:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -0.839%E -0.227%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-21 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.11%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.71%E -5.22%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.52%E -0.978%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-21 13:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.11%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.71%E -5.22%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.52%E -0.978%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-21 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.17%EV -6.33%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.13%EV -3.74%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.70%EV -4.32%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-21 13:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.11%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-21 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-21 13:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%EV -3.30%E -1.49%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-21 13:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%EV -3.30%E -1.49%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-21 13:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.18%E -0.660%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-21 10:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-21 13:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-21 13:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.11%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-21 13:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.03%E -4.84%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-21 13:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.98%EV -8.70%E -2.82%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.97%EV -11.58%E -5.70%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-21 13:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -8.11%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.92%EV -14.63%E -7.46%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-21 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.79%EV -14.03%E -4.84%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.63%EV -13.76%E -6.95%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-09-21 12:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 29.19% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.68% | 16.5% | 2026-09-21 13:49 |