Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Levante v Girona

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 15:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Levante (Local)

Prediction 34.49%2.90fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.354%
Kelly -0.543%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.66%34.53%34.42%36.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.752.8740.00%36.69%36.36%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Girona (Visit)

Prediction 37.00%2.70fair odd
EV -0.106%
Edge -0.039%
Kelly -0.062%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.86%37.01%37.01%38.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.552.552.7042.02%39.22%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.51%3.51fair odd
EV -0.204%
Edge -0.058%
Kelly -0.082%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.05%28.46%28.56%29.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.313.303.5034.72%30.17%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Levante (Local): 34.49%; Girona (Visit): 37.00%; Draw: 28.51%. For Girona (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.703. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.700, with an expected value of -0.106%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.92%EV -1.02%E -0.354%K -0.543%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.02%EV -2.70%E -1.03%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.06%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-07 15:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -2.05%E -0.722%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.97%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.92%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 15:04
1xBet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.31%EV -2.40%E -0.846%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.06%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.64%EV -3.34%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.13%EV -2.40%E -0.846%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.88%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -1.63%E -0.472%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.13%EV -2.40%E -0.846%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.88%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -1.63%E -0.472%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.72%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.69%EV -1.96%E -0.738%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 14:39
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.66%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%EV -0.106%E -0.039%K -0.062%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 14:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 14:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 14:39
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.33%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.97%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 15:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.33%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.40%EV -4.92%E -1.91%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 15:08
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 15:05
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 15:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -4.12%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 15:10
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -4.12%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 15:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.66%EV -4.12%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -10.47%E -4.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -3.63%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 15:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.74%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 15:04
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 15:06
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 10:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 15:10
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:40
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:39
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:40
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:40
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:39
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:40
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 15:10
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 13:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 13:29
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 15:00
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -0.204%E -0.058%K -0.082%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 15:09
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 15:00
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -1.63%E -0.472%K -0.665%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:50
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -10.18%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 15:10
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:40
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:30
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -10.18%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 15:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 15:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.71%EV -7.91%E -2.96%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.78%EV -6.77%E -2.68%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 15:03
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 15:04
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 15:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 15:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -8.25%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:39
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -8.25%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -8.25%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:40
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.64%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.64%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -10.33%E -3.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -10.33%E -3.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 15:00
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.33%E -3.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.21%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 14:59
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.33%E -3.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.26%EV -13.78%E -5.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.99%EV -11.95%E -5.02%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.74%EV -17.88%E -6.21%K -9.51%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 34.00%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.98%0.0%2026-03-07 15:10
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 34.00%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.98%0.0%2026-03-07 15:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.15%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.94%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%0.3%2026-03-07 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.15%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.94%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%0.3%2026-03-07 15:04
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-03-07 15:10
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-03-07 15:09