La escuela de los momios

Levante v Girona

Inicio: 2026-03-07 15:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Levante (Local)

Predicción 34.49%2.90momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.354%
Kelly -0.543%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.66%34.53%34.42%36.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.732.752.8740.00%36.69%36.36%34.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Girona (Visitante)

Predicción 37.00%2.70momio equitativo
EV -0.106%
Ventaja -0.039%
Kelly -0.062%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.86%37.01%37.01%38.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.552.552.7042.02%39.22%39.22%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.51%3.51momio equitativo
EV -0.204%
Ventaja -0.058%
Kelly -0.082%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.05%28.46%28.56%29.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.313.303.5034.72%30.17%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.92%EV -1.02%E -0.354%K -0.543%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.02%EV -2.70%E -1.03%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.06%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-07 15:09
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -2.05%E -0.722%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.97%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.92%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 15:04
1xBet2.83I 35.34%NM 34.31%EV -2.40%E -0.846%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.06%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.64%EV -3.34%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 15:10
LowVig.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 34.13%EV -2.40%E -0.846%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.88%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -1.63%E -0.472%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 34.13%EV -2.40%E -0.846%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.88%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -1.63%E -0.472%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 14:00
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.72%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.69%EV -1.96%E -0.738%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 14:39
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.66%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%EV -0.106%E -0.039%K -0.062%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 15:10
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 14:39
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 14:39
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 14:39
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 34.33%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.97%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 15:09
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.33%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.40%EV -4.92%E -1.91%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 15:08
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 15:05
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 15:04
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -4.12%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 15:10
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -4.12%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 15:10
Unibet (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 33.66%EV -4.12%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -10.47%E -4.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -3.63%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 15:10
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.74%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 15:04
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 15:06
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 10:34
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 15:10
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:40
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:39
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:40
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:40
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:39
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:40
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 15:10
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 13:29
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 13:29
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 15:00
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -0.204%E -0.058%K -0.082%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 15:09
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 15:00
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -1.63%E -0.472%K -0.665%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:09
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:50
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -10.18%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 15:10
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:40
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:30
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -10.18%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 15:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 15:09
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 34.71%EV -7.91%E -2.96%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.78%EV -6.77%E -2.68%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 15:03
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 15:04
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 15:09
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 15:09
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 15:09
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -8.25%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:39
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -8.25%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:39
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -8.25%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:40
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.64%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.64%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -10.33%E -3.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -10.33%E -3.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 15:00
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.33%E -3.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.21%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 14:59
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.33%E -3.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.26%EV -13.78%E -5.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.99%EV -11.95%E -5.02%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.74%EV -17.88%E -6.21%K -9.51%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 34.00%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.98%0.0%2026-03-07 15:10
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 34.00%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.98%0.0%2026-03-07 15:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.15%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.94%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%0.3%2026-03-07 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.15%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.94%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%0.3%2026-03-07 15:04
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-03-07 15:10
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-03-07 15:09