L’École des cotes

Levante v Girona

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 15:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Levante (Local)

Prévision 34.49%2.90cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.354%
Kelly -0.543%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.66%34.53%34.42%36.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.732.752.8740.00%36.69%36.36%34.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Girona (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.00%2.70cote équitable
EV -0.106%
Avantage -0.039%
Kelly -0.062%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.86%37.01%37.01%38.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.552.552.7042.02%39.22%39.22%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.51%3.51cote équitable
EV -0.204%
Avantage -0.058%
Kelly -0.082%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.05%28.46%28.56%29.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.313.303.5034.72%30.17%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.92%EV -1.02%E -0.354%K -0.543%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.02%EV -2.70%E -1.03%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.06%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-07 15:09
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -2.05%E -0.722%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.97%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.92%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 15:04
1xBet2.83I 35.34%NM 34.31%EV -2.40%E -0.846%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.06%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.64%EV -3.34%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 15:10
LowVig.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 34.13%EV -2.40%E -0.846%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.88%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -1.63%E -0.472%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 34.13%EV -2.40%E -0.846%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.88%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -1.63%E -0.472%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 14:00
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.72%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.69%EV -1.96%E -0.738%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 14:39
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.66%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%EV -0.106%E -0.039%K -0.062%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 15:10
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 14:39
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 14:39
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 14:39
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 34.33%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.97%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 15:09
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.33%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.40%EV -4.92%E -1.91%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 15:08
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 15:05
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 15:04
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -4.12%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 15:10
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -4.12%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 15:10
Unibet (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 33.66%EV -4.12%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -10.47%E -4.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -3.63%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 15:10
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.74%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 15:04
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 15:06
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 10:34
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 15:10
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:40
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:39
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:40
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:40
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:39
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:40
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 15:10
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 13:29
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 13:29
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 15:00
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -0.204%E -0.058%K -0.082%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 15:09
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 15:00
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -1.63%E -0.472%K -0.665%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:09
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:50
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -10.18%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 15:10
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:40
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:30
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -10.18%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 15:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.88%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 15:09
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 34.71%EV -7.91%E -2.96%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.78%EV -6.77%E -2.68%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 15:03
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 15:04
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 15:09
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 15:09
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 15:09
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -8.25%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:39
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -8.25%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:39
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.60%E -3.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -8.25%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:40
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.64%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.64%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -10.33%E -3.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -10.33%E -3.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 15:00
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.33%E -3.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.21%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 14:59
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.33%E -3.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.26%EV -13.78%E -5.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.99%EV -11.95%E -5.02%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.74%EV -17.88%E -6.21%K -9.51%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 34.00%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.98%0.0%2026-03-07 15:10
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 34.00%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.98%0.0%2026-03-07 15:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.15%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.94%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%0.3%2026-03-07 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.15%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.94%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%0.3%2026-03-07 15:04
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-03-07 15:10
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-03-07 15:09