Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.80
assuming max odds 2.90
assuming max odds 3.23
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Levante (Local): 35.10%; Alavés (Visit): 34.05%; Draw: 30.85%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.23, with an expected value of -0.344%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.86%EV -1.72%E -0.616%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.66%EV -1.26%E -0.434%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.86%EV -1.72%E -0.616%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.66%EV -1.26%E -0.434%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -1.72%E -0.616%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.81%E -0.893%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.12%EV -2.78%E -1.00%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.90%EV -2.28%E -0.795%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.98%EV -3.12%E -0.994%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.84%EV -3.13%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.34%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -3.74%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 19:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -1.26%E -0.434%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -1.26%E -0.434%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -1.26%E -0.434%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.51%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.38%EV -6.03%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 19:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 19:52 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 19:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.19%EV -3.74%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.40%EV -4.18%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.39%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -1.27%E -0.397%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.40%EV -4.18%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.39%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -1.27%E -0.397%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -4.53%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -3.98%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -4.53%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -3.98%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.00%EV -4.53%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.52%EV -8.75%E -3.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.47%EV -0.344%E -0.107%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 19:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 19:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 19:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 19:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 19:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -2.96%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -2.81%E -0.893%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 18:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -7.69%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.36%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -1.26%E -0.434%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -1.27%E -0.397%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -2.28%E -0.795%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -2.96%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -2.96%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 19:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.98%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.98%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -10.50%E -4.12%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -10.50%E -4.12%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -10.53%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.49% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.25% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.26% | -0.0% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.65% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 0.2% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.80% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.11% | 0.5% | 2026-02-27 19:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.80% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.11% | 0.5% | 2026-02-27 19:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.72% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |