L’École des cotes

Levante v Alavés

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Levante (Local)

Prévision 35.10%2.85cote équitable
EV -1.72%
Avantage -0.616%
Kelly -0.958%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.26%35.13%35.14%36.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.682.702.8039.22%37.34%37.04%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alavés (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.05%2.94cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.434%
Kelly -0.663%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.54%34.13%34.03%35.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.782.802.9038.17%35.96%35.71%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.85%3.24cote équitable
EV -0.344%
Avantage -0.107%
Kelly -0.154%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.47%30.74%30.83%31.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.053.053.2334.48%32.77%32.79%30.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.86%EV -1.72%E -0.616%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.66%EV -1.26%E -0.434%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-27 19:04
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.86%EV -1.72%E -0.616%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.66%EV -1.26%E -0.434%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-27 19:24
1xBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -1.72%E -0.616%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.81%E -0.893%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 19:54
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 35.12%EV -2.78%E -1.00%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.90%EV -2.28%E -0.795%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.98%EV -3.12%E -0.994%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-27 19:34
Marathon Bet2.76I 36.23%NM 34.84%EV -3.13%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.34%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -3.74%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 19:49
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -1.26%E -0.434%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-27 19:04
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -1.26%E -0.434%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-27 19:04
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -1.26%E -0.434%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-27 19:04
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.51%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.38%EV -6.03%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 19:48
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 19:52
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 19:25
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 19:25
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 19:50
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.19%EV -3.74%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 19:54
LowVig.ag2.73I 36.63%NM 35.40%EV -4.18%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.39%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -1.27%E -0.397%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 18:49
BetOnline.ag2.73I 36.63%NM 35.40%EV -4.18%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.39%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -1.27%E -0.397%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 18:49
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -4.53%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -3.98%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 19:00
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -4.53%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -3.98%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 18:59
Betclic (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.00%EV -4.53%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.52%EV -8.75%E -3.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.47%EV -0.344%E -0.107%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 19:54
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 19:00
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 19:04
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 19:30
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 19:29
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 19:49
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 19:00
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 19:24
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 19:25
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 19:25
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 19:04
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -2.96%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 18:39
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -2.81%E -0.893%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:04
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:04
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:04
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:04
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:04
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:04
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:04
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 19:04
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 18:59
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -7.69%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.36%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 18:40
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -1.26%E -0.434%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 18:40
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 18:39
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:09
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -1.27%E -0.397%K -0.577%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -2.28%E -0.795%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 18:39
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -2.96%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -2.96%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 18:39
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 19:44
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 19:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-27 19:54
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:54
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.98%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 19:05
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.98%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 18:39
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -10.50%E -4.12%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:54
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -10.50%E -4.12%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -10.53%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-27 19:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.49%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.25%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.26%-0.0%2026-02-27 19:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.65%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-02-27 19:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.80%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.11%0.5%2026-02-27 19:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.80%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.11%0.5%2026-02-27 19:49
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.72%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-02-27 19:54