La escuela de los momios

Levante v Alavés

Inicio: 2026-02-27 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Levante (Local)

Predicción 35.10%2.85momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -0.616%
Kelly -0.958%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.26%35.13%35.14%36.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.682.702.8039.22%37.34%37.04%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alavés (Visitante)

Predicción 34.05%2.94momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.434%
Kelly -0.663%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.54%34.13%34.03%35.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.782.802.9038.17%35.96%35.71%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.85%3.24momio equitativo
EV -0.344%
Ventaja -0.107%
Kelly -0.154%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.47%30.74%30.83%31.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.053.053.2334.48%32.77%32.79%30.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.86%EV -1.72%E -0.616%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.66%EV -1.26%E -0.434%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-27 19:04
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.86%EV -1.72%E -0.616%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.66%EV -1.26%E -0.434%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-27 19:24
1xBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -1.72%E -0.616%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.81%E -0.893%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 19:54
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 35.12%EV -2.78%E -1.00%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.90%EV -2.28%E -0.795%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.98%EV -3.12%E -0.994%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-27 19:34
Marathon Bet2.76I 36.23%NM 34.84%EV -3.13%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.34%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -3.74%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 19:49
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -1.26%E -0.434%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-27 19:04
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -1.26%E -0.434%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-27 19:04
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -1.26%E -0.434%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-27 19:04
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.51%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.38%EV -6.03%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 19:48
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 19:52
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 19:25
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 19:25
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 19:50
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.19%EV -3.74%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 19:54
LowVig.ag2.73I 36.63%NM 35.40%EV -4.18%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.39%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -1.27%E -0.397%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 18:49
BetOnline.ag2.73I 36.63%NM 35.40%EV -4.18%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.39%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -1.27%E -0.397%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 18:49
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -4.53%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -3.98%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 19:00
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -4.53%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -3.98%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 18:59
Betclic (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.00%EV -4.53%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.52%EV -8.75%E -3.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.47%EV -0.344%E -0.107%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 19:54
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 19:00
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 19:04
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 19:30
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 19:29
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 19:49
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 19:00
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 19:24
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 19:25
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 19:25
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 19:04
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -2.96%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 18:39
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -2.81%E -0.893%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:04
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:04
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:04
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:04
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:04
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:04
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:04
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 19:04
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 18:59
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -7.69%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.36%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 18:40
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -1.26%E -0.434%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 18:40
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 18:39
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:09
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -1.27%E -0.397%K -0.577%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -2.28%E -0.795%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 18:39
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -2.96%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -2.96%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 18:39
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 19:44
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 19:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-27 19:54
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:54
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.98%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 19:05
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.98%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 18:39
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -10.50%E -4.12%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:54
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -10.50%E -4.12%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -10.53%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-27 19:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.49%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.25%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.26%-0.0%2026-02-27 19:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.65%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-02-27 19:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.80%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.11%0.5%2026-02-27 19:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.80%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.11%0.5%2026-02-27 19:49
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.72%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-02-27 19:54