Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Getafe v Real Betis

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 15:19 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Getafe (Local)

Prediction 35.21%2.84fair odd
EV +3.53%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.82%
Growth +0.064%

assuming max odds 2.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.99%35.24%35.24%36.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.692.702.9439.22%37.11%37.04%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Betis (Visit)

Prediction 30.86%3.24fair odd
EV -0.940%
Edge -0.293%
Kelly -0.426%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.96%30.97%30.78%32.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.033.003.2136.36%32.97%33.33%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 33.93%2.95fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.557%
Kelly -0.851%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.10%33.80%33.98%35.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.782.802.9040.00%36.02%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Getafe (Local): 35.21%; Real Betis (Visit): 30.86%; Draw: 33.93%. For Getafe (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.94, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%EV +3.53%E +1.20%K +1.82%G +0.064%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.12%EV -6.80%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -5.69%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.65%EV -1.40%E -0.499%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.65%EV -1.40%E -0.499%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.65%EV -1.40%E -0.499%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.65%EV -1.40%E -0.499%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64%EV -1.40%E -0.499%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09%EV -3.72%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.27%EV -3.99%E -1.41%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:14
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.78%EV -1.75%E -0.627%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%EV -2.79%E -0.886%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.41%EV -4.33%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 15:14
Coolbet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 35.03%EV -2.45%E -0.886%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%EV -2.79%E -0.886%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.17%EV -3.65%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.01%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.86%EV -3.72%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.14%EV -4.33%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 15:13
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -11.12%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 15:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -11.12%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 15:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.56%EV -4.22%E -1.55%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.13%EV -0.940%E -0.293%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -4.33%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.56%EV -4.22%E -1.55%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.13%EV -0.940%E -0.293%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -4.33%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 15:15
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -1.62%E -0.557%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 15:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 15:15
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 15:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 15:15
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:14
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 15:15
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 15:15
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 15:04
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 15:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 15:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -12.05%E -4.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 15:15
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 15:15
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -5.62%E -2.10%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -5.88%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -2.29%E -0.797%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 15:14
Bovada🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.68%EV -6.33%E -2.38%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.42%EV -3.72%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 15:13
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 15:14
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.18%EV -2.79%E -0.886%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 15:14
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 15:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 15:14
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 15:15
BetUS🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.98%EV -7.03%E -2.66%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.45%EV -3.72%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -3.99%E -1.41%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 15:14
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -7.74%E -2.95%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.74%E -2.95%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 15:15
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.61%EV -7.74%E -2.95%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -8.04%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -4.33%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 15:14
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 15:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -1.62%E -0.557%K -0.851%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 15:15
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 15:15
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 15:15
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 15:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:15
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -10.10%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -15.14%E -5.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -15.19%E -6.07%K -10.12%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-08 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.66%EV -10.20%E -4.00%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.96%EV -3.72%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 15:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.94%0.2%2026-03-08 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%0.5%2026-03-08 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62%0.5%2026-03-08 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62%0.5%2026-03-08 15:15
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%1.0%2026-03-08 15:15
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.41%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-03-08 15:15