La escuela de los momios

Getafe v Real Betis

Inicio: 2026-03-08 15:19 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Getafe (Local)

Predicción 35.21%2.84momio equitativo
EV +3.53%
Ventaja +1.20%
Kelly +1.82%
Crecimiento +0.064%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.99%35.24%35.24%36.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.692.702.9439.22%37.11%37.04%34.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Real Betis (Visitante)

Predicción 30.86%3.24momio equitativo
EV -0.940%
Ventaja -0.293%
Kelly -0.426%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.96%30.97%30.78%32.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.033.003.2136.36%32.97%33.33%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 33.93%2.95momio equitativo
EV -1.62%
Ventaja -0.557%
Kelly -0.851%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.10%33.80%33.98%35.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.782.802.9040.00%36.02%35.71%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%EV +3.53%E +1.20%K +1.82%G +0.064%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.12%EV -6.80%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -5.69%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:14
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.65%EV -1.40%E -0.499%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.65%EV -1.40%E -0.499%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.65%EV -1.40%E -0.499%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:15
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.65%EV -1.40%E -0.499%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Marathon Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64%EV -1.40%E -0.499%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09%EV -3.72%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.27%EV -3.99%E -1.41%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:14
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.78%EV -1.75%E -0.627%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%EV -2.79%E -0.886%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.41%EV -4.33%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 15:14
Coolbet2.77I 36.10%NM 35.03%EV -2.45%E -0.886%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%EV -2.79%E -0.886%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.17%EV -3.65%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:14
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.01%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.86%EV -3.72%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.14%EV -4.33%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 15:13
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -11.12%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 15:14
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -11.12%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 15:14
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.56%EV -4.22%E -1.55%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.13%EV -0.940%E -0.293%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -4.33%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 15:15
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.56%EV -4.22%E -1.55%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.13%EV -0.940%E -0.293%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -4.33%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 15:15
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -1.62%E -0.557%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 15:14
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 15:15
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 15:14
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 15:15
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 15:15
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:14
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 15:15
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 15:15
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 15:04
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 15:14
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 15:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -12.05%E -4.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 15:15
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 15:15
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -5.62%E -2.10%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -5.88%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -2.29%E -0.797%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 15:14
Bovada2.66I 37.59%NM 35.68%EV -6.33%E -2.38%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.42%EV -3.72%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 15:13
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 15:14
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.18%EV -2.79%E -0.886%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 15:14
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 15:14
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 15:14
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:14
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 15:15
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 15:15
BetUS2.64I 37.88%NM 35.98%EV -7.03%E -2.66%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.45%EV -3.72%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -3.99%E -1.41%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 15:14
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -7.74%E -2.95%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.74%E -2.95%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 15:15
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.61%EV -7.74%E -2.95%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -8.04%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -4.33%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 15:14
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 15:14
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -1.62%E -0.557%K -0.851%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 15:15
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 15:15
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 15:15
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 15:14
NetBet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:15
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -10.10%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -15.14%E -5.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -15.19%E -6.07%K -10.12%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-08 15:15
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.66%EV -10.20%E -4.00%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.96%EV -3.72%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 15:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.94%0.2%2026-03-08 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%0.5%2026-03-08 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62%0.5%2026-03-08 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62%0.5%2026-03-08 15:15
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%1.0%2026-03-08 15:15
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.41%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-03-08 15:15