L’École des cotes

Getafe v Real Betis

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 15:19 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Getafe (Local)

Prévision 35.21%2.84cote équitable
EV +3.53%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +1.82%
Croissance +0.064%

avec la cote maximale 2.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.99%35.24%35.24%36.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.692.702.9439.22%37.11%37.04%34.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Real Betis (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.86%3.24cote équitable
EV -0.940%
Avantage -0.293%
Kelly -0.426%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.96%30.97%30.78%32.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.033.003.2136.36%32.97%33.33%31.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.93%2.95cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.557%
Kelly -0.851%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.10%33.80%33.98%35.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.782.802.9040.00%36.02%35.71%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%EV +3.53%E +1.20%K +1.82%G +0.064%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.12%EV -6.80%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -5.69%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:14
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.65%EV -1.40%E -0.499%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.65%EV -1.40%E -0.499%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.65%EV -1.40%E -0.499%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:15
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.65%EV -1.40%E -0.499%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Marathon Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64%EV -1.40%E -0.499%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09%EV -3.72%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.27%EV -3.99%E -1.41%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:14
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.78%EV -1.75%E -0.627%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%EV -2.79%E -0.886%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.41%EV -4.33%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 15:14
Coolbet2.77I 36.10%NM 35.03%EV -2.45%E -0.886%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%EV -2.79%E -0.886%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.17%EV -3.65%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 15:14
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.01%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.86%EV -3.72%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.14%EV -4.33%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 15:13
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -11.12%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 15:14
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -3.16%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -11.12%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 15:14
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.56%EV -4.22%E -1.55%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.13%EV -0.940%E -0.293%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -4.33%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 15:15
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.56%EV -4.22%E -1.55%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.13%EV -0.940%E -0.293%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -4.33%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 15:15
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -1.62%E -0.557%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 15:14
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 15:15
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 15:14
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 15:15
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 15:15
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:14
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 15:15
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 15:15
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 15:04
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 15:14
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 15:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -12.05%E -4.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 15:15
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -4.92%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 15:15
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -5.62%E -2.10%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -5.88%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -2.29%E -0.797%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 15:14
Bovada2.66I 37.59%NM 35.68%EV -6.33%E -2.38%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.42%EV -3.72%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 15:13
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 15:14
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.18%EV -2.79%E -0.886%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 15:14
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 15:14
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 15:14
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:14
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 15:15
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.68%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 15:15
BetUS2.64I 37.88%NM 35.98%EV -7.03%E -2.66%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.45%EV -3.72%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -3.99%E -1.41%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 15:14
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -7.74%E -2.95%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.74%E -2.95%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 15:15
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.61%EV -7.74%E -2.95%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -8.04%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -4.33%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 15:14
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 15:14
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -1.62%E -0.557%K -0.851%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 15:15
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 15:15
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 15:15
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 15:14
NetBet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:15
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -10.10%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -8.44%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -15.14%E -5.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -15.19%E -6.07%K -10.12%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-08 15:15
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.66%EV -10.20%E -4.00%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.96%EV -3.72%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -5.01%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 15:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.94%0.2%2026-03-08 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%0.5%2026-03-08 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62%0.5%2026-03-08 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62%0.5%2026-03-08 15:15
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%1.0%2026-03-08 15:15
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.41%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-03-08 15:15