Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Getafe v CA Osasuna

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC

Final: Getafe 1–0 CA Osasuna

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Getafe (Local)

Prediction 32.32%3.09fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.359%
Kelly -0.533%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.27%32.48%32.25%34.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.862.883.0638.46%34.92%34.72%32.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CA Osasuna (Visit)

Prediction 30.62%3.27fair odd
EV +1.03%
Edge +0.313%
Kelly +0.449%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.43%30.62%30.57%34.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.503.063.053.3040.00%32.64%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 37.06%2.70fair odd
EV +0.070%
Edge +0.026%
Kelly +0.041%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.62%36.90%37.19%38.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.562.552.7040.82%39.06%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Getafe (Local): 32.32%; CA Osasuna (Visit): 30.62%; Draw: 37.06%. For CA Osasuna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.26%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%EV +1.03%E +0.313%K +0.449%G +0.005%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.16%EV +0.070%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 18:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.26%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%EV +1.03%E +0.313%K +0.449%G +0.005%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.16%EV +0.070%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.26%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%EV +1.03%E +0.313%K +0.449%G +0.005%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.16%EV +0.070%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 18:09
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -4.65%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.84%EV -0.498%E -0.153%K -0.221%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.29%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.52%EV -0.498%E -0.153%K -0.221%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.21%EV -1.78%E -0.673%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 18:09
Pinnacle🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 32.01%EV -1.74%E -0.574%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.13%EV -1.11%E -0.344%K -0.498%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.86%EV -4.75%E -1.85%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-23 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.03%E -0.634%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.95%EV -1.74%E -0.574%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.55%EV -2.64%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.50%EV -4.01%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:49
LowVig.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -1.10%E -0.359%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.38%EV -2.64%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.04%EV -5.86%E -2.31%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -1.10%E -0.359%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.38%EV -2.64%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.04%EV -5.86%E -2.31%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:39
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:09
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:10
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:10
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:09
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:49
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:49
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -4.65%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:49
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:40
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:40
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 18:49
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 18:49
1xBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.56%EV -3.68%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.50%EV -5.70%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%EV +0.070%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.26%EV -6.01%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.15%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 18:38
NordicBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -3.68%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -4.38%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Betsson🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -3.68%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -4.38%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:38
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -4.65%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.58%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.51%EV -6.60%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:48
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -14.35%E -5.41%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -14.35%E -5.41%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 18:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -14.35%E -5.41%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -14.35%E -5.41%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 18:09
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -14.35%E -5.41%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 18:10
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:38
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.73%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.84%EV -2.52%E -0.960%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 18:49
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.93%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:48
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 18:49
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:49
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:49
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 18:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.17%EV -8.45%E -3.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -15.00%E -5.70%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 18:09
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -15.00%E -5.70%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 18:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -1.78%E -0.673%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 18:39
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.13%EV -15.97%E -6.14%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.78%EV -8.08%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 18:49
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.35%EV -15.32%E -5.85%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.27%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -23.46%E -9.38%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%0.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%0.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%0.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%0.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.64%1.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%2.1%2026-05-23 18:49