L’École des cotes

Getafe v CA Osasuna

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC

Score final : Getafe 1–0 CA Osasuna

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Getafe (Local)

Prévision 32.32%3.09cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.359%
Kelly -0.533%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.27%32.48%32.25%34.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.862.883.0638.46%34.92%34.72%32.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

CA Osasuna (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.62%3.27cote équitable
EV +1.03%
Avantage +0.313%
Kelly +0.449%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.43%30.62%30.57%34.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.503.063.053.3040.00%32.64%32.79%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 37.06%2.70cote équitable
EV +0.070%
Avantage +0.026%
Kelly +0.041%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.62%36.90%37.19%38.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.562.552.7040.82%39.06%39.22%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.26%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%EV +1.03%E +0.313%K +0.449%G +0.005%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.16%EV +0.070%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 18:09
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 34.26%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%EV +1.03%E +0.313%K +0.449%G +0.005%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.16%EV +0.070%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 18:10
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.26%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%EV +1.03%E +0.313%K +0.449%G +0.005%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.16%EV +0.070%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 18:09
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -4.65%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.84%EV -0.498%E -0.153%K -0.221%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.29%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:29
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.52%EV -0.498%E -0.153%K -0.221%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.21%EV -1.78%E -0.673%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 18:09
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 32.01%EV -1.74%E -0.574%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.13%EV -1.11%E -0.344%K -0.498%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.86%EV -4.75%E -1.85%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-23 18:40
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.03%E -0.634%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.95%EV -1.74%E -0.574%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.55%EV -2.64%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.50%EV -4.01%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:49
LowVig.ag3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -1.10%E -0.359%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.38%EV -2.64%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.04%EV -5.86%E -2.31%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:40
BetOnline.ag3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -1.10%E -0.359%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.38%EV -2.64%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.04%EV -5.86%E -2.31%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:39
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:09
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:10
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:10
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:09
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:49
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:49
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -4.65%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:49
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:40
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:40
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 18:49
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 18:49
1xBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.56%EV -3.68%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.50%EV -5.70%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%EV +0.070%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.26%EV -6.01%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.15%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 18:38
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -3.68%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -4.38%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -3.68%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -4.38%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:38
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -4.65%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.58%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.51%EV -6.60%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:48
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -14.35%E -5.41%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 18:10
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -14.35%E -5.41%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 18:09
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -14.35%E -5.41%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -14.35%E -5.41%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 18:09
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -14.35%E -5.41%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 18:10
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:38
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.73%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.84%EV -2.52%E -0.960%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 18:49
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.93%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:48
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 18:49
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:49
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:49
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 18:39
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.17%EV -8.45%E -3.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:39
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -15.00%E -5.70%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 18:09
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -15.00%E -5.70%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 18:09
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -1.78%E -0.673%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 18:39
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.13%EV -15.97%E -6.14%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.78%EV -8.08%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 18:49
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.35%EV -15.32%E -5.85%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.27%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -23.46%E -9.38%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%0.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%0.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%0.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%0.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.64%1.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%2.1%2026-05-23 18:49