La escuela de los momios

Getafe v CA Osasuna

Inicio: 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC

Final: Getafe 1–0 CA Osasuna

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Getafe (Local)

Predicción 32.32%3.09momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.359%
Kelly -0.533%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.27%32.48%32.25%34.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.862.883.0638.46%34.92%34.72%32.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

CA Osasuna (Visitante)

Predicción 30.62%3.27momio equitativo
EV +1.03%
Ventaja +0.313%
Kelly +0.449%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.43%30.62%30.57%34.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.503.063.053.3040.00%32.64%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 37.06%2.70momio equitativo
EV +0.070%
Ventaja +0.026%
Kelly +0.041%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.62%36.90%37.19%38.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.562.552.7040.82%39.06%39.22%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.26%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%EV +1.03%E +0.313%K +0.449%G +0.005%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.16%EV +0.070%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 18:09
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 34.26%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%EV +1.03%E +0.313%K +0.449%G +0.005%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.16%EV +0.070%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 18:10
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.26%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%EV +1.03%E +0.313%K +0.449%G +0.005%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.16%EV +0.070%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 18:09
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -4.65%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.84%EV -0.498%E -0.153%K -0.221%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.29%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:29
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.52%EV -0.498%E -0.153%K -0.221%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.21%EV -1.78%E -0.673%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 18:09
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 32.01%EV -1.74%E -0.574%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.13%EV -1.11%E -0.344%K -0.498%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.86%EV -4.75%E -1.85%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-23 18:40
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.03%E -0.634%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.95%EV -1.74%E -0.574%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.55%EV -2.64%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.50%EV -4.01%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:49
LowVig.ag3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -1.10%E -0.359%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.38%EV -2.64%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.04%EV -5.86%E -2.31%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:40
BetOnline.ag3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -1.10%E -0.359%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.38%EV -2.64%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.04%EV -5.86%E -2.31%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:39
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:09
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:10
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:10
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:09
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:49
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:49
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -4.65%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:49
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:40
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:40
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 18:49
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 18:49
1xBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.56%EV -3.68%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.50%EV -5.70%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%EV +0.070%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.26%EV -6.01%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.15%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 18:38
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -3.68%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -4.38%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -3.68%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -4.38%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:38
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -4.65%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.58%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.51%EV -6.60%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:48
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -14.35%E -5.41%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 18:10
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -14.35%E -5.41%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 18:09
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -14.35%E -5.41%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -14.35%E -5.41%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 18:09
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -14.35%E -5.41%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 18:10
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:38
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.73%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.84%EV -2.52%E -0.960%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 18:49
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.93%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:48
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 18:49
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:49
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:49
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 18:39
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.17%EV -8.45%E -3.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:39
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -15.00%E -5.70%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 18:09
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -15.00%E -5.70%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 18:09
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -1.78%E -0.673%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 18:39
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.13%EV -15.97%E -6.14%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.78%EV -8.08%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 18:49
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.35%EV -15.32%E -5.85%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.27%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -23.46%E -9.38%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%0.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%0.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%0.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%0.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.64%1.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%2.1%2026-05-23 18:49