L’École des cotes

Getafe v Athletic Bilbao

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Getafe (Local)

Prévision 28.35%3.53cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.299%
Kelly -0.419%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.76%28.41%28.38%30.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.313.303.4932.26%30.25%30.30%28.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Athletic Bilbao (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.14%2.62cote équitable
EV -0.068%
Avantage -0.026%
Kelly -0.042%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.05%38.17%38.13%39.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.482.482.6243.48%40.39%40.32%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.50%2.98cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.395%
Kelly -0.597%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.59%33.41%33.49%34.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.812.802.9540.00%35.61%35.71%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.49I 28.65%NM 27.88%EV -1.04%E -0.299%K -0.419%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.46%EV -3.50%E -1.38%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.67%EV -3.17%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 11:50
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16%EV -2.18%E -0.631%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.10%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.74%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 11:34
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -2.18%E -0.631%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.87%EV -2.36%E -0.920%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.02%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 11:39
Marathon Bet3.42I 29.24%NM 28.34%EV -3.03%E -0.885%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.01%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.65%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 11:54
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.67%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV -0.831%E -0.319%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.84%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 11:34
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.60%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 11:35
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.60%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 11:35
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 11:29
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 11:30
Betclic (FR)3.37I 29.67%NM 27.81%EV -4.45%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.60%E -4.05%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.65%EV -3.84%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 11:40
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:54
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV -3.88%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -5.52%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 11:55
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV -3.88%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -5.52%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 11:55
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -5.79%E -2.34%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 11:40
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:35
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:35
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:35
Bally Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:35
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:55
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 11:40
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.48%EV -1.59%E -0.618%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -2.50%E -0.861%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 11:19
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.48%EV -1.59%E -0.618%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -2.50%E -0.861%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 11:19
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 11:40
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 11:55
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:40
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:40
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 11:35
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 11:34
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 11:34
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 11:39
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:29
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:29
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:30
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:40
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:34
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:40
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:35
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 11:49
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.91%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 11:53
TAB3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 11:50
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:40
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 11:10
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:34
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:35
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:35
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -10.37%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:39
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%EV -8.42%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.05%EV -0.068%E -0.026%K -0.042%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.90%EV -1.16%E -0.395%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 11:54
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -2.84%E -0.979%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 11:54
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 11:49
Fliff3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 11:54
NetBet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.49%EV -10.37%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.25%EV -8.87%E -3.26%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 11:29
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:55
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -12.10%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -12.27%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -16.24%E -6.50%K -10.83%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-05 11:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%0.5%2026-04-05 11:55
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%0.5%2026-04-05 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-04-05 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%0.8%2026-04-05 11:55
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52%1.5%2026-04-05 11:55
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.1%2026-04-05 11:55