مدرسة الاحتمالات

Getafe v Athletic Bilbao

البداية: 2026-04-05 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Getafe (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.35%3.53السعر العادل
EV -1.04%
الأفضلية -0.299%
Kelly -0.419%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.49

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.76%28.41%28.38%30.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.313.303.4932.26%30.25%30.30%28.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Athletic Bilbao (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.14%2.62السعر العادل
EV -0.068%
الأفضلية -0.026%
Kelly -0.042%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.05%38.17%38.13%39.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.482.482.6243.48%40.39%40.32%38.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 33.50%2.98السعر العادل
EV -1.16%
الأفضلية -0.395%
Kelly -0.597%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.59%33.41%33.49%34.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.812.802.9540.00%35.61%35.71%33.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.49I 28.65%NM 27.88%EV -1.04%E -0.299%K -0.419%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.46%EV -3.50%E -1.38%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.67%EV -3.17%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 11:50
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16%EV -2.18%E -0.631%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.10%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.74%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 11:34
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -2.18%E -0.631%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.87%EV -2.36%E -0.920%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.02%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 11:39
Marathon Bet3.42I 29.24%NM 28.34%EV -3.03%E -0.885%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.01%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.65%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 11:54
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.67%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV -0.831%E -0.319%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.84%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 11:34
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.60%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 11:35
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.60%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 11:35
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 11:29
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 11:30
Betclic (FR)3.37I 29.67%NM 27.81%EV -4.45%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.60%E -4.05%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.65%EV -3.84%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 11:40
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:54
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV -3.88%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -5.52%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 11:55
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV -3.88%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -5.52%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 11:55
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -5.79%E -2.34%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 11:40
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:35
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:35
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:35
Bally Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:35
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:55
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 11:40
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.48%EV -1.59%E -0.618%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -2.50%E -0.861%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 11:19
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.48%EV -1.59%E -0.618%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -2.50%E -0.861%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 11:19
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 11:40
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 11:55
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:40
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:40
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 11:35
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 11:34
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 11:34
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 11:39
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:29
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:29
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:30
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:40
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:34
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:40
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:35
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 11:49
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.91%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 11:53
TAB3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 11:50
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:40
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 11:10
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:34
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:35
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:35
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -10.37%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:39
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%EV -8.42%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.05%EV -0.068%E -0.026%K -0.042%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.90%EV -1.16%E -0.395%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 11:54
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -2.84%E -0.979%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 11:54
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 11:49
Fliff3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 11:54
NetBet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.49%EV -10.37%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.25%EV -8.87%E -3.26%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 11:29
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:55
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -12.10%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -12.27%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -16.24%E -6.50%K -10.83%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-05 11:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%0.5%2026-04-05 11:55
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%0.5%2026-04-05 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-04-05 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%0.8%2026-04-05 11:55
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52%1.5%2026-04-05 11:55
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.1%2026-04-05 11:55