La escuela de los momios

Getafe v Athletic Bilbao

Inicio: 2026-04-05 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Getafe (Local)

Predicción 28.35%3.53momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.299%
Kelly -0.419%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.76%28.41%28.38%30.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.313.303.4932.26%30.25%30.30%28.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Athletic Bilbao (Visitante)

Predicción 38.14%2.62momio equitativo
EV -0.068%
Ventaja -0.026%
Kelly -0.042%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.05%38.17%38.13%39.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.482.482.6243.48%40.39%40.32%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 33.50%2.98momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.395%
Kelly -0.597%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.59%33.41%33.49%34.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.812.802.9540.00%35.61%35.71%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.49I 28.65%NM 27.88%EV -1.04%E -0.299%K -0.419%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.46%EV -3.50%E -1.38%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.67%EV -3.17%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 11:50
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16%EV -2.18%E -0.631%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.10%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.74%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 11:34
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -2.18%E -0.631%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.87%EV -2.36%E -0.920%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.02%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 11:39
Marathon Bet3.42I 29.24%NM 28.34%EV -3.03%E -0.885%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.01%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.65%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 11:54
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.67%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV -0.831%E -0.319%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.84%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 11:34
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.60%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 11:35
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.60%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 11:35
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 11:29
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 11:30
Betclic (FR)3.37I 29.67%NM 27.81%EV -4.45%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.60%E -4.05%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.65%EV -3.84%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 11:40
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:54
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV -3.88%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -5.52%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 11:55
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV -3.88%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -5.52%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 11:55
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -5.79%E -2.34%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 11:40
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:35
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:35
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:35
Bally Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:35
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:55
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -5.01%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 11:40
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.48%EV -1.59%E -0.618%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -2.50%E -0.861%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 11:19
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.48%EV -1.59%E -0.618%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -2.50%E -0.861%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 11:19
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 11:40
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 11:55
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:40
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:40
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 11:35
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 11:34
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 11:34
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 11:39
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:29
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:29
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:30
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:40
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:34
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:40
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:35
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 11:49
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.91%EV -3.51%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 11:53
TAB3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 11:50
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:40
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 11:10
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:34
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:35
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:35
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -10.37%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:39
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%EV -8.42%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.05%EV -0.068%E -0.026%K -0.042%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.90%EV -1.16%E -0.395%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 11:54
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -2.84%E -0.979%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 11:54
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 11:49
Fliff3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 11:54
NetBet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.49%EV -10.37%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.25%EV -8.87%E -3.26%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 11:29
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:55
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -4.51%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -12.10%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -12.27%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -16.24%E -6.50%K -10.83%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-05 11:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%0.5%2026-04-05 11:55
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%0.5%2026-04-05 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-04-05 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%0.8%2026-04-05 11:55
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52%1.5%2026-04-05 11:55
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.1%2026-04-05 11:55