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Elche CF v Real Betis

2026-11-08 13:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elche CF (Local)

Prediction 24.73%4.04fair odd
EV +2.87%
Edge +0.689%
Kelly +0.908%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 4.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.50%24.91%24.97%27.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.773.754.1629.41%26.52%26.67%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Betis (Visit)

Prediction 50.89%1.96fair odd
EV -0.763%
Edge -0.391%
Kelly -0.803%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.44%50.69%50.74%52.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.831.851.9560.24%54.72%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.38%4.10fair odd
EV -0.767%
Edge -0.188%
Kelly -0.250%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.20%24.40%24.29%25.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.833.804.0727.78%26.08%26.32%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Elche CF (Local): 24.73%; Real Betis (Visit): 50.89%; Draw: 24.38%. For Elche CF (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.04. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.16, producing a positive expected value of +2.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.68%EV +2.87%E +0.689%K +0.908%G +0.026%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.12%EV -3.82%E -2.02%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 24.20%EV -0.767%E -0.188%K -0.250%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-25 21:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.68%EV +0.148%E +0.036%K +0.048%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.11%EV -6.36%E -3.46%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.21%EV -3.45%E -0.871%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -1.09%E -0.272%K -0.363%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.87%E -3.75%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.47%E -0.618%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-26 01:04
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -3.56%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -9.41%E -5.29%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-25 21:20
picklebet_au🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -3.56%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -10.94%E -6.25%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 21:20
LeoVegas🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -10.94%E -6.25%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 21:36
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 20:50
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.83%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 01:05
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.83%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 21:36
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 21:20
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -11.45%E -6.58%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -3.69%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 21:36
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.87%E -3.75%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.47%E -0.618%K -0.825%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-25 21:36
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 01:05
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.57%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 21:27
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.57%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 21:27
Betclic (FR)🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 23.54%EV -7.77%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.27%EV -14.50%E -8.63%K -21.33%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.19%EV -11.50%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-25 21:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -3.31%E -1.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 22:11
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.87%E -3.75%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 21:36
Unibet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -12.47%E -7.25%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 21:20
Pinnacle🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 26.32%EV -10.73%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.73%EV -0.763%E -0.391%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.94%EV -7.11%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 21:36
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-25 22:00
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.87%E -3.75%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 21:36
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.02%EV -15.52%E -9.35%K -23.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -3.02%K -4.15%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-25 21:36
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -15.93%E -4.68%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-26 01:11
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%4.0%2026-10-25 21:27
Smarkets◎3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.66%15.9%2026-10-25 21:36
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.11%1xBet 4.16 (24.1%) / Pinnacle 1.95 (51.3%) / 1xBet 4.07 (24.6%)Show details
Elche CF (Local)Real Betis (Visit)DrawMargin
1xBet🎯 4.16 (24.1%)Pinnacle🎯 1.95 (51.3%)1xBet🎯 4.07 (24.6%)+0.110%