默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Elche CF v Real Betis

2026-11-08 13:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Elche CF (主队)

预测 24.73%4.04公平赔率
EV +2.87%
优势 +0.689%
Kelly +0.908%
增长率 +0.026%

假设最高赔率为 4.16

博彩公司预测分布
23.50%24.91%24.97%27.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.773.754.1629.41%26.52%26.67%24.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

Real Betis (客队)

预测 50.89%1.96公平赔率
EV -0.763%
优势 -0.391%
Kelly -0.803%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.95

博彩公司预测分布
48.44%50.69%50.74%52.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.661.831.851.9560.24%54.72%54.05%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.38%4.10公平赔率
EV -0.767%
优势 -0.188%
Kelly -0.250%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.07

博彩公司预测分布
23.20%24.40%24.29%25.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.833.804.0727.78%26.08%26.32%24.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Elche CF (主队):24.73%;Real Betis (客队):50.89%;平局:24.38%。 对于“Elche CF (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.04。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为4.16,由此产生+2.87%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.68%EV +2.87%E +0.689%K +0.908%G +0.026%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.12%EV -3.82%E -2.02%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 24.20%EV -0.767%E -0.188%K -0.250%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-25 21:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.68%EV +0.148%E +0.036%K +0.048%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.11%EV -6.36%E -3.46%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.21%EV -3.45%E -0.871%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -1.09%E -0.272%K -0.363%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.87%E -3.75%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.47%E -0.618%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-26 01:04
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -3.56%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -9.41%E -5.29%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-25 21:20
picklebet_au🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -3.56%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -10.94%E -6.25%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 21:20
LeoVegas🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -10.94%E -6.25%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 21:36
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 20:50
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.83%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 01:05
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.83%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 21:36
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 21:20
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -11.45%E -6.58%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -3.69%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 21:36
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.87%E -3.75%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.47%E -0.618%K -0.825%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-25 21:36
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 01:05
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.57%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 21:27
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.57%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 21:27
Betclic (FR)🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 23.54%EV -7.77%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.27%EV -14.50%E -8.63%K -21.33%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.19%EV -11.50%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-25 21:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -3.31%E -1.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 22:11
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.87%E -3.75%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 21:36
Unibet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -12.47%E -7.25%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 21:20
Pinnacle🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 26.32%EV -10.73%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.73%EV -0.763%E -0.391%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.94%EV -7.11%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 21:36
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-25 22:00
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.87%E -3.75%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 21:36
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.02%EV -15.52%E -9.35%K -23.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -3.02%K -4.15%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-25 21:36
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -15.93%E -4.68%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-26 01:11
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%4.0%2026-10-25 21:27
Smarkets◎3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.66%15.9%2026-10-25 21:36
套利(1 种组合) +0.11%1xBet 4.16 (24.1%) / Pinnacle 1.95 (51.3%) / 1xBet 4.07 (24.6%)显示详情
Elche CF (主队)Real Betis (客队)平局利润率
1xBet🎯 4.16 (24.1%)Pinnacle🎯 1.95 (51.3%)1xBet🎯 4.07 (24.6%)+0.110%