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Elche CF v Real Betis
Resultado del partido
Elche CF (Local)
Predicción 24.73%4.04momio equitativo
EV +2.87%
Ventaja +0.689%
Kelly +0.908%
Crecimiento +0.026%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.50%24.91%24.97%27.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.773.754.1629.41%26.52%26.67%24.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Real Betis (Visitante)
Predicción 50.89%1.96momio equitativo
EV -0.763%
Ventaja -0.391%
Kelly -0.803%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.44%50.69%50.74%52.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.661.831.851.9560.24%54.72%54.05%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.38%4.10momio equitativo
EV -0.767%
Ventaja -0.188%
Kelly -0.250%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.20%24.40%24.29%25.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.833.804.0727.78%26.08%26.32%24.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Elche CF (Local): 24.73%; Real Betis (Visitante): 50.89%; Empate: 24.38%. Para Elche CF (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.04. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.16, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.87%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (27 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.68%EV +2.87%E +0.689%K +0.908%G +0.026% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.12%EV -3.82%E -2.02%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 24.20%EV -0.767%E -0.188%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-10-25 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.68%EV +0.148%E +0.036%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.11%EV -6.36%E -3.46%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.21%EV -3.45%E -0.871%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-25 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -1.09%E -0.272%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.87%E -3.75%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.47%E -0.618%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-26 01:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -3.56%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -9.41%E -5.29%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-25 21:20 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -3.56%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -10.94%E -6.25%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-25 21:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -10.94%E -6.25%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-25 21:36 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-25 20:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.83%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-26 01:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.83%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-25 21:36 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-25 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-25 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-25 20:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.03%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -11.45%E -6.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -3.69%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-25 21:36 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.87%E -3.75%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.47%E -0.618%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-25 21:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-25 21:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-26 01:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.57%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-25 21:27 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.57%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-25 21:27 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.54%EV -7.77%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.27%EV -14.50%E -8.63%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.19%EV -11.50%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-25 21:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -3.31%E -1.74%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-25 22:11 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.87%E -3.75%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-25 21:36 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -12.47%E -7.25%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-25 21:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.32%EV -10.73%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.73%EV -0.763%E -0.391%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.94%EV -7.11%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-25 21:36 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-25 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.87%E -3.75%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-25 21:36 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.02%EV -15.52%E -9.35%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -3.02%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-10-25 21:36 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -15.93%E -4.68%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-26 01:11 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (2)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97% | 4.0% | 2026-10-25 21:27 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.37% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.66% | 15.9% | 2026-10-25 21:36 |
Arbitraje (1 combinación) +0.11%1xBet 4.16 (24.1%) / Pinnacle 1.95 (51.3%) / 1xBet 4.07 (24.6%)Ver detalles
| Elche CF (Local) | Real Betis (Visitante) | Empate | Margen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 4.16 (24.1%) | Pinnacle🎯 1.95 (51.3%) | 1xBet🎯 4.07 (24.6%) | +0.110% |