默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Elche CF v Atlético Madrid

开赛时间: 2026-04-22 17:00 UTC

最终结果: Elche CF 3–2 Atlético Madrid

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Elche CF (主队)

预测 40.02%2.50公平赔率
EV +0.043%
优势 +0.017%
Kelly +0.029%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
37.93%40.16%40.05%42.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.352.352.5044.44%42.63%42.55%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atlético Madrid (客队)

预测 33.41%2.99公平赔率
EV +3.57%
优势 +1.15%
Kelly +1.70%
增长率 +0.061%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
31.24%33.34%33.42%35.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.632.822.803.1038.02%35.47%35.71%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.57%3.76公平赔率
EV -0.355%
优势 -0.095%
Kelly -0.129%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
25.22%26.51%26.54%29.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.553.553.7534.72%28.14%28.17%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Elche CF (主队):40.02%;Atlético Madrid (客队):33.41%;平局:26.57%。 对于“Atlético Madrid (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.99。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.10,对应+3.57%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.29%EV -8.36%E -3.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%EV +3.57%E +1.15%K +1.70%G +0.061%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.46%EV -2.75%E -0.750%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.02%EV -2.76%E -1.14%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.42%EV -2.77%E -0.953%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.57%EV -2.75%E -0.750%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-22 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.30%EV -3.11%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%EV -3.01%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.30%EV -3.11%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%EV -3.01%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 16:30
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.41%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -3.11%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -1.68%E -0.455%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:54
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.11%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 16:54
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.11%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.13%EV -2.76%E -1.14%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.86%EV -3.78%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.01%EV -0.355%E -0.095%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-22 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.69%EV -3.78%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -0.355%E -0.095%K -0.129%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.69%EV -3.78%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -0.355%E -0.095%K -0.129%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.69%EV -3.78%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -0.355%E -0.095%K -0.129%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 16:20
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.78%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:19
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.16%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -4.11%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -4.11%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:54
Coolbet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.46%EV -1.56%E -0.633%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94%EV -4.45%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.60%EV -3.01%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 16:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.06%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 16:30
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 16:30
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:49
Bovada🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.01%EV -5.16%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 16:52
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.16%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.73%EV -6.20%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 16:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:54
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:54
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.90%EV -9.16%E -4.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:54
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.37%EV -3.16%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.79%EV -5.78%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:25
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.37%EV -3.16%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.79%EV -5.78%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -3.01%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:54
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -3.01%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:19
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -3.01%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:19
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -3.01%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:19
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -3.01%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:19
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 16:44
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -6.76%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:20
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -6.76%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -6.76%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:20
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:49
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 16:49
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 16:49
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 16:34
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:54
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:44
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -7.16%E -3.09%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 16:54
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.76%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 16:20
LeoVegas🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.76%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.76%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 16:34
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 16:54
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.77%EV +0.043%E +0.017%K +0.029%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -8.45%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%EV -0.355%E -0.095%K -0.129%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 16:54
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -9.79%E -3.63%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -0.355%E -0.095%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:49
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.79%E -3.63%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.45%EV -12.13%E -4.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.63%EV -23.47%E -8.15%K -12.49%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-22 16:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.86%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%0.4%2026-04-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-04-22 16:55
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-04-22 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.05%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%0.7%2026-04-22 16:54
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-04-22 16:54
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-04-22 16:54