مدرسة الاحتمالات

Elche CF v Atlético Madrid

البداية: 2026-04-22 17:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Elche CF 3–2 Atlético Madrid

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Elche CF (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.02%2.50السعر العادل
EV +0.043%
الأفضلية +0.017%
Kelly +0.029%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.93%40.16%40.05%42.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.352.352.5044.44%42.63%42.55%40.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atlético Madrid (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.41%2.99السعر العادل
EV +3.57%
الأفضلية +1.15%
Kelly +1.70%
النمو +0.061%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.24%33.34%33.42%35.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.822.803.1038.02%35.47%35.71%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.57%3.76السعر العادل
EV -0.355%
الأفضلية -0.095%
Kelly -0.129%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.22%26.51%26.54%29.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.553.553.7534.72%28.14%28.17%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.29%EV -8.36%E -3.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%EV +3.57%E +1.15%K +1.70%G +0.061%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.46%EV -2.75%E -0.750%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 16:50
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 40.02%EV -2.76%E -1.14%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.42%EV -2.77%E -0.953%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.57%EV -2.75%E -0.750%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-22 16:54
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.30%EV -3.11%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%EV -3.01%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 16:30
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.30%EV -3.11%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%EV -3.01%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 16:30
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.41%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -3.11%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -1.68%E -0.455%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:54
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.11%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 16:54
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.11%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 16:54
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 40.13%EV -2.76%E -1.14%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.86%EV -3.78%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.01%EV -0.355%E -0.095%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-22 16:20
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.69%EV -3.78%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -0.355%E -0.095%K -0.129%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 16:19
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.69%EV -3.78%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -0.355%E -0.095%K -0.129%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 16:20
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.69%EV -3.78%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -0.355%E -0.095%K -0.129%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 16:20
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.78%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:19
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.16%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -4.11%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -4.11%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:54
Coolbet2.46I 40.65%NM 39.46%EV -1.56%E -0.633%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94%EV -4.45%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.60%EV -3.01%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 16:49
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.06%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 16:30
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 16:30
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:49
Bovada2.37I 42.19%NM 40.01%EV -5.16%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 16:52
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.16%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.73%EV -6.20%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 16:34
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:50
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:54
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:54
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:54
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.90%EV -9.16%E -4.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:54
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.37%EV -3.16%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.79%EV -5.78%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:25
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.37%EV -3.16%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.79%EV -5.78%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 16:30
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -3.01%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:54
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -3.01%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:19
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -3.01%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:19
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -3.01%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:19
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -3.01%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:19
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 16:44
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -6.76%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:20
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -6.76%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -6.76%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:20
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:49
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 16:49
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 16:49
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 16:34
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:54
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:44
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -7.16%E -3.09%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:19
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:20
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 16:54
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:50
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.76%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 16:20
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.76%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 16:20
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.76%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 16:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 16:34
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 16:54
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.77%EV +0.043%E +0.017%K +0.029%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -8.45%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%EV -0.355%E -0.095%K -0.129%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 16:54
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -9.79%E -3.63%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -0.355%E -0.095%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:49
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.79%E -3.63%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.45%EV -12.13%E -4.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.63%EV -23.47%E -8.15%K -12.49%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-22 16:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.86%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%0.4%2026-04-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-04-22 16:55
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-04-22 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.05%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%0.7%2026-04-22 16:54
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-04-22 16:54
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-04-22 16:54