La scuola delle quote

Celta Vigo v Mallorca

Inizio: 2026-02-22 17:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Celta Vigo (Casa)

Previsione 53.60%1.87quota equa
EV +0.231%
Vantaggio +0.124%
Kelly +0.266%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.59%53.62%53.63%54.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.771.771.8759.88%56.54%56.34%53.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mallorca (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.62%5.10quota equa
EV +3.02%
Vantaggio +0.575%
Kelly +0.710%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.04%19.57%19.58%21.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.784.755.2522.73%20.90%21.05%19.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.78%3.73quota equa
EV -1.99%
Vantaggio -0.545%
Kelly -0.750%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.86%26.81%26.79%28.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.483.503.6632.26%28.78%28.57%27.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.11%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV +3.02%E +0.575%K +0.710%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 16:53
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.00%EV -4.06%E -2.27%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.77%EV +1.06%E +0.205%K +0.255%G +0.003%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.00%EV -4.06%E -2.27%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.77%EV +1.06%E +0.205%K +0.255%G +0.003%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 17:19
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.57%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.90%EV +0.861%E +0.167%K +0.208%G +0.002%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.54%EV -1.99%E -0.545%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-22 17:20
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.13%EV -4.06%E -2.27%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.89%EV +0.665%E +0.130%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.99%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 17:20
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.40%EV -6.74%E -3.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.56%EV +0.076%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.15%EV -1.91%E -1.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.45%EV -1.89%E -0.377%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-22 16:40
Coolbet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.67%EV -2.98%E -1.65%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43%EV -1.89%E -0.377%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.91%EV -3.33%E -0.923%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-22 16:39
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -7.27%E -4.20%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -1.89%E -0.377%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 16:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.89%E -0.377%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 16:49
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.89%E -0.377%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 16:54
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -7.81%E -4.54%K -10.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -1.89%E -0.377%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 16:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -7.27%E -4.20%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -1.89%E -0.377%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 17:00
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.82%EV -3.52%E -1.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.57%EV -2.87%E -0.579%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61%EV -2.53%E -0.695%K -0.958%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 17:20
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02%EV -5.66%E -3.22%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -2.87%E -0.579%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 17:19
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02%EV -5.66%E -3.22%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -2.87%E -0.579%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 16:58
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.19%EV +0.231%E +0.124%K +0.266%G +0.001%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.92%EV -3.85%E -0.785%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-22 16:39
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.73%EV -1.91%E -1.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -3.85%E -0.785%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 16:40
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.73%EV -1.91%E -1.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -3.85%E -0.785%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 16:40
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -5.13%E -2.90%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%EV -3.85%E -0.785%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 16:55
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -8.88%E -5.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -3.85%E -0.785%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 16:55
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.27%EV -4.06%E -2.27%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.81%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 16:55
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -5.81%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 17:20
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -5.13%E -2.90%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 16:55
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -5.13%E -2.90%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 17:19
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 16:40
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 16:40
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 16:39
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 16:40
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 16:39
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 16:39
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 17:19
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -5.13%E -2.90%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 16:39
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -7.27%E -4.20%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 17:19
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -7.77%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 16:55
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -7.77%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 16:55
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.78%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.65%EV -7.77%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.30%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 16:39
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -7.77%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -11.63%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 16:39
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -7.77%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -11.63%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 16:40
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.92%EV -8.88%E -5.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -7.77%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 16:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.46%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.66%EV -8.75%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 17:20
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -3.52%E -1.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 16:40
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -3.52%E -1.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -3.52%E -1.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.63%EV -5.66%E -3.22%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -2.26%E -0.620%K -0.854%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 17:05
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -5.13%E -2.90%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 16:39
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -3.52%E -1.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -11.63%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 17:20
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -3.52%E -1.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -11.63%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 17:20
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.62%EV -5.66%E -3.22%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 17:19
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 16:55
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -11.70%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 16:50
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -11.70%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 16:49
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -7.81%E -4.54%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.70%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -10.49%E -6.28%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -11.70%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-22 16:59
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -3.52%E -1.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -13.66%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 16:49
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -3.52%E -1.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -13.66%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 16:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-02-22 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.45%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.8%2026-02-22 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.45%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.8%2026-02-22 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.80%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17%0.8%2026-02-22 17:05
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.07%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-02-22 17:20