L’École des cotes

Celta Vigo v Mallorca

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Celta Vigo (Local)

Prévision 53.60%1.87cote équitable
EV +0.231%
Avantage +0.124%
Kelly +0.266%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.59%53.62%53.63%54.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.771.771.8759.88%56.54%56.34%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mallorca (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.62%5.10cote équitable
EV +3.02%
Avantage +0.575%
Kelly +0.710%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.04%19.57%19.58%21.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.784.755.2522.73%20.90%21.05%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.78%3.73cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -0.545%
Kelly -0.750%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.86%26.81%26.79%28.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.483.503.6632.26%28.78%28.57%27.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.11%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV +3.02%E +0.575%K +0.710%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 16:53
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.00%EV -4.06%E -2.27%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.77%EV +1.06%E +0.205%K +0.255%G +0.003%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.00%EV -4.06%E -2.27%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.77%EV +1.06%E +0.205%K +0.255%G +0.003%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 17:19
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.57%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.90%EV +0.861%E +0.167%K +0.208%G +0.002%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.54%EV -1.99%E -0.545%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-22 17:20
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.13%EV -4.06%E -2.27%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.89%EV +0.665%E +0.130%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.99%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 17:20
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.40%EV -6.74%E -3.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.56%EV +0.076%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.15%EV -1.91%E -1.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.45%EV -1.89%E -0.377%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-22 16:40
Coolbet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.67%EV -2.98%E -1.65%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43%EV -1.89%E -0.377%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.91%EV -3.33%E -0.923%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-22 16:39
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -7.27%E -4.20%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -1.89%E -0.377%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 16:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.89%E -0.377%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 16:49
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.89%E -0.377%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 16:54
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -7.81%E -4.54%K -10.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -1.89%E -0.377%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 16:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -7.27%E -4.20%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -1.89%E -0.377%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 17:00
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.82%EV -3.52%E -1.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.57%EV -2.87%E -0.579%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61%EV -2.53%E -0.695%K -0.958%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 17:20
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02%EV -5.66%E -3.22%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -2.87%E -0.579%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 17:19
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02%EV -5.66%E -3.22%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -2.87%E -0.579%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 16:58
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.19%EV +0.231%E +0.124%K +0.266%G +0.001%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.92%EV -3.85%E -0.785%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-22 16:39
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.73%EV -1.91%E -1.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -3.85%E -0.785%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 16:40
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.73%EV -1.91%E -1.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -3.85%E -0.785%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 16:40
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -5.13%E -2.90%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%EV -3.85%E -0.785%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 16:55
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -8.88%E -5.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -3.85%E -0.785%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 16:55
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.27%EV -4.06%E -2.27%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.81%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 16:55
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -5.81%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 17:20
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -5.13%E -2.90%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 16:55
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -5.13%E -2.90%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 17:19
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 16:40
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 16:40
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 16:39
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 16:40
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 16:39
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 16:39
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 17:19
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -5.13%E -2.90%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 16:39
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -7.27%E -4.20%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -6.79%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 17:19
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -7.77%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 16:55
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -7.77%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 16:55
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.78%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.65%EV -7.77%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.30%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 16:39
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -7.77%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -11.63%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 16:39
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -7.77%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -11.63%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 16:40
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.92%EV -8.88%E -5.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -7.77%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 16:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.46%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.66%EV -8.75%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 17:20
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -3.52%E -1.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 16:40
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -3.52%E -1.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -3.52%E -1.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.63%EV -5.66%E -3.22%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -2.26%E -0.620%K -0.854%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 17:05
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -5.13%E -2.90%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 16:39
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -3.52%E -1.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -11.63%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 17:20
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -3.52%E -1.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -11.63%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 17:20
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.62%EV -5.66%E -3.22%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 17:19
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 16:55
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -9.74%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -11.70%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 16:50
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -11.70%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 16:49
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -7.81%E -4.54%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.70%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -10.49%E -6.28%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -11.70%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-22 16:59
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -3.52%E -1.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -13.66%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 16:49
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -3.52%E -1.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -13.66%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 16:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-02-22 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.45%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.8%2026-02-22 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.45%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.8%2026-02-22 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.80%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17%0.8%2026-02-22 17:05
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.07%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-02-22 17:20