A Escola das Odds

CA Osasuna v Real Madrid

Início: 2026-02-21 17:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

CA Osasuna (Local)

Previsão 20.29%4.93odd justa
EV +2.49%
Vantagem +0.493%
Kelly +0.615%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.04%20.30%20.30%22.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.254.644.605.0523.53%21.54%21.74%19.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Madrid (Visitante)

Previsão 55.43%1.80odd justa
EV -1.89%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -2.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.62%55.47%55.41%57.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.691.701.7761.73%59.14%58.82%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.28%4.12odd justa
EV +1.97%
Vantagem +0.468%
Kelly +0.614%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.78%24.23%24.29%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.923.944.2030.30%25.49%25.38%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Marathon Bet5.05I 19.80%NM 19.04%EV +2.49%E +0.493%K +0.615%G +0.015%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.56%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.40%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 17:24
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%EV +1.47%E +0.295%K +0.369%G +0.005%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.60%EV -3.00%E -1.72%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-21 16:45
1xBet4.92I 20.33%NM 19.71%EV -0.149%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.70%EV -5.22%E -3.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.59%EV -0.219%E -0.053%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 17:20
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.00%EV -0.555%E -0.113%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.66%EV -4.11%E -2.38%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%EV +1.97%E +0.468%K +0.614%G +0.012%2.0%2026-02-21 17:20
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV -0.555%E -0.113%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.94%EV -5.22%E -3.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%EV +1.97%E +0.468%K +0.614%G +0.012%2.7%2026-02-21 17:20
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV -0.555%E -0.113%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.94%EV -5.22%E -3.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%EV +1.97%E +0.468%K +0.614%G +0.012%2.7%2026-02-21 17:20
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%EV -0.555%E -0.113%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV +1.97%E +0.468%K +0.614%G +0.012%3.0%2026-02-21 17:19
Pinnacle4.85I 20.62%NM 20.04%EV -1.57%E -0.324%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.91%EV -1.89%E -1.07%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.05%EV -5.80%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-21 17:25
Bovada4.85I 20.62%NM 19.56%EV -1.57%E -0.324%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -6.53%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:23
LowVig.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -2.58%E -0.538%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.57%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.29%EV -3.38%E -0.848%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 17:15
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -2.58%E -0.538%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.57%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.29%EV -3.38%E -0.848%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 17:15
theScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%EV -2.58%E -0.538%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -7.44%E -4.45%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV +1.97%E +0.468%K +0.614%G +0.012%4.5%2026-02-21 17:15
DraftKings4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -2.58%E -0.538%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.72%EV -5.22%E -3.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 17:25
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -2.58%E -0.538%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.36%EV -5.22%E -3.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:00
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.58%E -0.538%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:25
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -3.60%E -0.758%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.10%EV -4.66%E -2.71%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 16:30
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -3.60%E -0.758%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.53%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:25
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -3.60%E -0.758%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 17:00
Betsson4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -4.10%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:25
NordicBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -4.10%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -0.462%E -0.113%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:19
Unibet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -0.462%E -0.113%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:19
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -0.462%E -0.113%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:20
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -0.462%E -0.113%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:19
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -0.462%E -0.113%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:19
Bally Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -0.462%E -0.113%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:19
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -0.462%E -0.113%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:20
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -9.10%E -5.55%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -2.89%E -0.722%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:20
Codere (IT)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.27%EV -4.66%E -2.71%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -4.10%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 17:25
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.89%E -0.722%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:20
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 17:25
Bet Right4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -7.99%E -4.81%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -4.10%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:10
Betr (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -2.89%E -0.722%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:10
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -7.44%E -4.45%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:25
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -7.44%E -4.45%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:25
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.97%EV -6.88%E -4.10%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -10.17%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 17:00
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -10.21%E -6.30%K -16.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -2.89%E -0.722%K -0.963%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 17:20
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -10.21%E -6.30%K -16.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -2.89%E -0.722%K -0.963%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 17:20
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -10.21%E -6.30%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -4.10%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 17:19
Unibet (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 20.58%EV -7.66%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.09%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.53%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:25
Parions Sport (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 20.17%EV -7.66%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -9.65%E -5.92%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 17:25
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.79%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -0.462%E -0.113%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:25
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -3.00%E -1.72%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 17:20
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 16:35
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:20
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.89%E -0.722%K -0.963%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:20
TAB4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 17:25
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 16:30
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.88%E -4.10%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 17:23
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -6.88%E -4.10%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 17:25
Fliff4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48%EV -9.69%E -2.18%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.22%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -10.70%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -3.00%E -1.72%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 17:20
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -10.70%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -3.00%E -1.72%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -10.70%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -3.00%E -1.72%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 17:20
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -10.70%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -7.99%E -4.81%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -2.89%E -0.722%K -0.963%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 17:25
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.70%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.45%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -6.53%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 17:25
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -12.12%E -2.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -12.60%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 17:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.06%EV -12.12%E -2.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.62%EV -10.21%E -6.30%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -19.88%E -6.03%K -8.65%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-21 16:27
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -13.75%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.53%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -0.462%E -0.113%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 16:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-02-21 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-02-21 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-02-21 17:25
Smarkets5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-02-21 17:25
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-02-21 17:25