مدرسة الاحتمالات

CA Osasuna v Real Madrid

البداية: 2026-02-21 17:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

CA Osasuna (المضيف)

التنبؤ 20.29%4.93السعر العادل
EV +2.49%
الأفضلية +0.493%
Kelly +0.615%
النمو +0.015%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.04%20.30%20.30%22.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.254.644.605.0523.53%21.54%21.74%19.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Real Madrid (الضيف)

التنبؤ 55.43%1.80السعر العادل
EV -1.89%
الأفضلية -1.07%
Kelly -2.46%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.62%55.47%55.41%57.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.691.701.7761.73%59.14%58.82%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.28%4.12السعر العادل
EV +1.97%
الأفضلية +0.468%
Kelly +0.614%
النمو +0.012%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.78%24.23%24.29%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.923.944.2030.30%25.49%25.38%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Marathon Bet5.05I 19.80%NM 19.04%EV +2.49%E +0.493%K +0.615%G +0.015%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.56%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.40%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 17:24
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%EV +1.47%E +0.295%K +0.369%G +0.005%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.60%EV -3.00%E -1.72%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-21 16:45
1xBet4.92I 20.33%NM 19.71%EV -0.149%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.70%EV -5.22%E -3.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.59%EV -0.219%E -0.053%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 17:20
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.00%EV -0.555%E -0.113%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.66%EV -4.11%E -2.38%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%EV +1.97%E +0.468%K +0.614%G +0.012%2.0%2026-02-21 17:20
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV -0.555%E -0.113%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.94%EV -5.22%E -3.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%EV +1.97%E +0.468%K +0.614%G +0.012%2.7%2026-02-21 17:20
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV -0.555%E -0.113%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.94%EV -5.22%E -3.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%EV +1.97%E +0.468%K +0.614%G +0.012%2.7%2026-02-21 17:20
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%EV -0.555%E -0.113%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV +1.97%E +0.468%K +0.614%G +0.012%3.0%2026-02-21 17:19
Pinnacle4.85I 20.62%NM 20.04%EV -1.57%E -0.324%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.91%EV -1.89%E -1.07%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.05%EV -5.80%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-21 17:25
Bovada4.85I 20.62%NM 19.56%EV -1.57%E -0.324%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -6.53%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:23
LowVig.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -2.58%E -0.538%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.57%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.29%EV -3.38%E -0.848%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 17:15
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -2.58%E -0.538%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.57%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.29%EV -3.38%E -0.848%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 17:15
theScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%EV -2.58%E -0.538%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -7.44%E -4.45%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV +1.97%E +0.468%K +0.614%G +0.012%4.5%2026-02-21 17:15
DraftKings4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -2.58%E -0.538%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.72%EV -5.22%E -3.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 17:25
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -2.58%E -0.538%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.36%EV -5.22%E -3.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:00
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.58%E -0.538%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:25
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -3.60%E -0.758%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.10%EV -4.66%E -2.71%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 16:30
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -3.60%E -0.758%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.53%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:25
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -3.60%E -0.758%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 17:00
Betsson4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -4.10%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:25
NordicBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -4.10%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -0.462%E -0.113%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:19
Unibet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -0.462%E -0.113%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:19
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -0.462%E -0.113%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:20
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -0.462%E -0.113%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:19
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -0.462%E -0.113%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:19
Bally Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -0.462%E -0.113%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:19
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -0.462%E -0.113%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:20
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -4.61%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -9.10%E -5.55%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -2.89%E -0.722%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:20
Codere (IT)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.27%EV -4.66%E -2.71%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -4.10%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 17:25
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.89%E -0.722%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:20
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 17:25
Bet Right4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -7.99%E -4.81%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -4.10%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:10
Betr (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -2.89%E -0.722%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:10
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -7.44%E -4.45%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:25
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -7.44%E -4.45%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:25
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.97%EV -6.88%E -4.10%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -10.17%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 17:00
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -10.21%E -6.30%K -16.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -2.89%E -0.722%K -0.963%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 17:20
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -10.21%E -6.30%K -16.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -2.89%E -0.722%K -0.963%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 17:20
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -10.21%E -6.30%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -4.10%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 17:19
Unibet (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 20.58%EV -7.66%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.09%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.53%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:25
Parions Sport (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 20.17%EV -7.66%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -9.65%E -5.92%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 17:25
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.79%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -0.462%E -0.113%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:25
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -3.00%E -1.72%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 17:20
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 16:35
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:20
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.89%E -0.722%K -0.963%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:20
TAB4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 17:25
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 16:30
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.88%E -4.10%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 17:23
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -6.88%E -4.10%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 17:25
Fliff4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48%EV -9.69%E -2.18%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.22%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -10.70%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -3.00%E -1.72%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 17:20
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -10.70%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -3.00%E -1.72%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -10.70%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -3.00%E -1.72%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 17:20
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -10.70%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -7.99%E -4.81%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -2.89%E -0.722%K -0.963%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 17:25
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.70%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.45%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -6.53%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 17:25
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -12.12%E -2.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -5.77%E -3.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -12.60%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 17:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.06%EV -12.12%E -2.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.62%EV -10.21%E -6.30%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -19.88%E -6.03%K -8.65%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-21 16:27
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -13.75%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.53%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -0.462%E -0.113%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 16:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-02-21 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-02-21 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-02-21 17:25
Smarkets5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-02-21 17:25
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-02-21 17:25